Broker tips 70% return for Liontown shares after selloff

Should you buy this lithium developer's shares after its fall from grace?

| More on:
builder peeking over board as if watching asx share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) shares had a terrible time on Monday.

The lithium developer's shares crashed as much as 26% to a 52-week low of 89 cents after releasing an update on its Kathleen Valley Lithium Project in Western Australia.

That update revealed that the company has commenced a review of the planned expansion and associated ramp-up of Kathleen Valley to preserve capital. It also revealed that a recently announced $760 million debt funding package had been terminated by its lenders.

Both actions were in response to weak lithium spodumene prices.

The Liontown share price would go on to recover a touch before closing the day 21% lower at 94 cents.

Should you buy Liontown shares?

The team at Bell Potter believes that this could be a buying opportunity for investors with a high risk tolerance.

This morning, the broker has retained its speculative buy rating on its shares with a reduced price target of $1.60 (from $2.25).

Based on where Liontown shares closed yesterday's session, this implies 70% upside for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

In respect to the funding, Bell Potter believes a new $500 million funding package would be sufficient. It said:

LTR's previous funding package allowed for a cash liquidity buffer of A$350m. We expect that through a combination of reducing this buffer and deferring expansion capex, LTR can maintain sufficient funding for Kathleen Valley's completion and commissioning on debt funding of around A$500m (from A$760m). Near-term lithium prices and LTR's cost profile during ramp-up remain a key risk. However, we also expect other forms of strategically aligned finance may be available, if required.

In addition, the broker highlights that it remains very positive on the Kathleen Valley Lithium Project and sees it as a highly strategic operation. It commented:

We have reduced our LTR valuation to $1.60/sh (previously $2.25/sh) to account for heightened funding risks. LTR's 100% owned Kathleen Valley lithium project remains highly strategic in terms of its stage of development, long mine life and location. LTR has offtake contracts with top tier EV and battery OEMs (Ford, LG Energy Solution and Tesla). Hancock Prospecting has a 19.9% interest in LTR.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Materials Shares

Why this $10 billion ASX lithium stock is surging 8% today

This lithium miner is making its shareholders smile on Thursday. But why?

Read more »

Five happy miners standing next to each other representing ASX coal mining shares which some brokers say could pay big dividends this year
Materials Shares

ASX lithium shares: Best 5 of a weak bunch in 2024

Only one All Ords lithium stock really impressed investors last year with a near 90% share price gain.

Read more »

Three miners looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Why did the BHP share price crash 21% in 2024?

This mining giant had a disappointing year. Will things be better in 2025?

Read more »

a man holds his arms out and shrugs his shoulders as if indicating he doesn't know the answer to a question he's been asked.
Materials Shares

Why did the Pilbara Minerals share price crash 45% in 2024?

Why were investors selling off this lithium giant this year? Let's dig deeper into things.

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

How much could $5,000 invested in BHP shares be worth in a year?

Here's what one leading broker believes could happen with this miner's shares next year.

Read more »

A woman jumps for joy with a rocket drawn on the wall behind her.
Materials Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX lithium stock could rocket 90%+ in 2025

Let's see why the broker is bullish on this lithium developer.

Read more »

A female employee in a hard hat and overalls with high visibility stripes sits at the wheel of a large mining vehicle with mining equipment in the background.
Materials Shares

Forget Fortescue shares and buy this ASX iron ore stock

Bell Potter thinks this iron ore miner could deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Are ASX lithium shares prime real estate for value hunters?

Can these stocks recharge returns for investors?

Read more »