Broker tips 70% return for Liontown shares after selloff

Should you buy this lithium developer's shares after its fall from grace?

| More on:
builder peeking over board as if watching asx share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) shares had a terrible time on Monday.

The lithium developer's shares crashed as much as 26% to a 52-week low of 89 cents after releasing an update on its Kathleen Valley Lithium Project in Western Australia.

That update revealed that the company has commenced a review of the planned expansion and associated ramp-up of Kathleen Valley to preserve capital. It also revealed that a recently announced $760 million debt funding package had been terminated by its lenders.

Both actions were in response to weak lithium spodumene prices.

The Liontown share price would go on to recover a touch before closing the day 21% lower at 94 cents.

Should you buy Liontown shares?

The team at Bell Potter believes that this could be a buying opportunity for investors with a high risk tolerance.

This morning, the broker has retained its speculative buy rating on its shares with a reduced price target of $1.60 (from $2.25).

Based on where Liontown shares closed yesterday's session, this implies 70% upside for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

In respect to the funding, Bell Potter believes a new $500 million funding package would be sufficient. It said:

LTR's previous funding package allowed for a cash liquidity buffer of A$350m. We expect that through a combination of reducing this buffer and deferring expansion capex, LTR can maintain sufficient funding for Kathleen Valley's completion and commissioning on debt funding of around A$500m (from A$760m). Near-term lithium prices and LTR's cost profile during ramp-up remain a key risk. However, we also expect other forms of strategically aligned finance may be available, if required.

In addition, the broker highlights that it remains very positive on the Kathleen Valley Lithium Project and sees it as a highly strategic operation. It commented:

We have reduced our LTR valuation to $1.60/sh (previously $2.25/sh) to account for heightened funding risks. LTR's 100% owned Kathleen Valley lithium project remains highly strategic in terms of its stage of development, long mine life and location. LTR has offtake contracts with top tier EV and battery OEMs (Ford, LG Energy Solution and Tesla). Hancock Prospecting has a 19.9% interest in LTR.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Materials Shares

Mineral Resources shares sink on Onslow Iron blow

This miner is having a tough session. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A man sits in a chair hunched over a laptop and covered head to toe in frozen icicles to represent Envirosuite's trading halt
Materials Shares

MAC Copper shares in trading halt as miner flags 'potential control transaction'

MAC Copper shares are frozen while Sandfire Resources shares are the fastest risers of the ASX 200 today.

Read more »

A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company
Materials Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX lithium stock could rise ~50%

The broker has just put a buy rating on this lithium stock.

Read more »

A woman stands next to a large green battery smiling and eating an apple with a lifting green arrow line in the background, indicating rising stock prices.
Share Market News

Are Liontown Resources shares a buy, hold or sell according to Macquarie?

Here’s what the broker has to say about this Lithium miner. 

Read more »

A man wearing a shirt, tie and hard hat sits in an office and marks dates in his diary.
Materials Shares

Rio Tinto share price tumbles on CEO bombshell news

The mining giant is now looking for a new leader.

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Materials Shares

What's going on with the Fortescue share price today?

This mining giant is making changes to its leadership.

Read more »

Happy construction worker at a building site with a group of workers at the background.
Materials Shares

After its result, does Macquarie rate James Hardie shares a buy, hold or sell?

The company announced its FY25 earnings on Wednesday.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Materials Shares

Fortescue shares fall on Iron Bridge blow

Iron Bridge is taking longer to ramp up than planned.

Read more »