Broker tips 70% return for Liontown shares after selloff

Should you buy this lithium developer's shares after its fall from grace?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) shares had a terrible time on Monday.

The lithium developer's shares crashed as much as 26% to a 52-week low of 89 cents after releasing an update on its Kathleen Valley Lithium Project in Western Australia.

That update revealed that the company has commenced a review of the planned expansion and associated ramp-up of Kathleen Valley to preserve capital. It also revealed that a recently announced $760 million debt funding package had been terminated by its lenders.

Both actions were in response to weak lithium spodumene prices.

The Liontown share price would go on to recover a touch before closing the day 21% lower at 94 cents.

builder peeking over board as if watching asx share price

Image source: Getty Images

Should you buy Liontown shares?

The team at Bell Potter believes that this could be a buying opportunity for investors with a high risk tolerance.

This morning, the broker has retained its speculative buy rating on its shares with a reduced price target of $1.60 (from $2.25).

Based on where Liontown shares closed yesterday's session, this implies 70% upside for investors over the next 12 months.

What did the broker say?

In respect to the funding, Bell Potter believes a new $500 million funding package would be sufficient. It said:

LTR's previous funding package allowed for a cash liquidity buffer of A$350m. We expect that through a combination of reducing this buffer and deferring expansion capex, LTR can maintain sufficient funding for Kathleen Valley's completion and commissioning on debt funding of around A$500m (from A$760m). Near-term lithium prices and LTR's cost profile during ramp-up remain a key risk. However, we also expect other forms of strategically aligned finance may be available, if required.

In addition, the broker highlights that it remains very positive on the Kathleen Valley Lithium Project and sees it as a highly strategic operation. It commented:

We have reduced our LTR valuation to $1.60/sh (previously $2.25/sh) to account for heightened funding risks. LTR's 100% owned Kathleen Valley lithium project remains highly strategic in terms of its stage of development, long mine life and location. LTR has offtake contracts with top tier EV and battery OEMs (Ford, LG Energy Solution and Tesla). Hancock Prospecting has a 19.9% interest in LTR.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A smiling man wearing a collared blue shirt and black jacket holds a piece of black rock containing rare earths.
Materials Shares

This major update just sent Lynas shares higher today

Lynas shares rise after announcing a key rare earth production milestone.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Materials Shares

Core Lithium shares tumble after $120m capital raising for Finniss restart

It won't be long until the company is producing lithium again.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Materials Shares

Top broker names 3 ASX rare earths stocks to buy

Let's see which stocks could benefit from strong prices.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Materials Shares

What does a change of CEO mean for the BHP share price?

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is rising on Wednesday. In afternoon trade, the mining giant's shares are…

Read more »

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistful of Australian dollar notes.
Materials Shares

$10,000 invested in BHP shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Was it a good idea to buy the mining giant's shares five years ago?

Read more »

A white EV car and an electric vehicle pump with green highlighted swirls representing ASX lithium shares
Materials Shares

This ASX lithium stock is slipping, but brokers see 135%+ gains

Analysts remain highly bullish on the long-term outlook.

Read more »

a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.
Materials Shares

Rio Tinto shares charge higher on big copper news

The Resolution Copper project was given a major boost today.

Read more »

Stock market crash concept of young man screaming at laptop on the sofa.
Materials Shares

Why the IperionX share price just crashed 22% today

Investors dump IperionX shares after its recent results spark heavy selling.

Read more »