'Lowest valuation since listing': ASX 200 stock for 'excellent business' now an irresistible bargain

These shares have been a darling for professional investors for the last two years but, so far, have failed to live up to the lofty expectations.

| More on:
a man sits in a home environment on a sofa while writing in a book with a pen, a plant on the table nearby and curtains open in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

All businesses have their ups and downs but, if you can look past the short-term bumps, brilliant opportunities to pick up some cheap shares can come up.

The team at QVG Capital reckons this is exactly the case right now with IDP Education Ltd (ASX: IEL).

In a boom month for the Australian month, the share price for the language testing and international student service provider painfully plunged 11.6% in December.

"We believe IDP is an excellent business with strong long-term growth prospects and competitive advantages," stated a QVG memo to clients.

"Despite this, the stock has performed poorly over 2022 and 2023."

Cheap shares with 'excellent opportunity for high future returns'

IDP shares have been a favourite among professional investors ever since COVID-19 hit, because of the expected recovery in international student activity.

But the stock has failed to live up to expectations, losing almost half its value since November 2021.

In recent times, the IDP share price has plummeted more than 36% since last February.

The QVG analysts understand why the market has been put off.

"A change in CEO, competition in their last monopoly English language testing market in Canada and housing shortages causing risk to international student numbers conspired to send the stock down by a quarter in 2023."

But, for them, this has now sent IDP shares into bargain territory because the long term drivers for the business are still there.

"The stock now trades on the lowest valuation [it] has since listing in 2015," read the memo.

"If our analysis of IDP's slowing growth – that it's cyclical not structural – is correct, then the current retreat in its share price presents an excellent opportunity for high future returns."

Indeed many of their peers agree that IDP is a tempting add right now.

According to CMC Invest, seven out of 10 analysts that cover the ASX 200 stock currently rate it as a buy.

For the QVG team, IDP shares still match their investment philosophy.

"Our goal is to find companies with growing earnings that can surprise to the upside. 

"We continue to believe in a more muted earnings environment these will remain rare and valuable."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Idp Education. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Idp Education. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Cheap Shares

Couple looking at their phone surprised, symbolising a bargain buy.
Cheap Shares

2 dirt cheap ASX shares to buy for 2025

Analysts see big returns on offer from these buy-rated shares.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Cheap Shares

Guess which ASX All Ords share is up 68% but still dirt cheap

Bell Potter thinks this stock could rise very strongly from current levels despite its heroics this year.

Read more »

a group of business people in business attire join their hands in the middle of a circle in a team celebration as they smile broadly in celebration of a milestone event.
Cheap Shares

5 beaten-up ASX shares being bought by insiders

Could all these buy-ups among company insiders indicate these ASX shares are going cheap?

Read more »

a happy young woman holding multiple shopping bags
Cheap Shares

Top ASX shares to buy on discount in December 2024

Black Friday may be over but there are still bargains to be found on the ASX!

Read more »

A man with binoculars crouched in the bush, indication a share price on watch
Cheap Shares

I've got $2,000 and I'm on the hunt for cheap ASX shares to buy in December

These stocks could be too cheap to ignore.

Read more »

Smiling couple looking at a phone at a bargain opportunity.
Cheap Shares

An undervalued ASX 200 stock to buy now

A leading broker sees big returns on offer from this blue chip.

Read more »

Woman on her laptop thinking to herself.
Cheap Shares

6 ASX shares down 50%+ in 2024. Are they cheap?

A cheap share doesn't always mean a bargain.

Read more »

Two happy shoppers finding bargains amongst clothes on a store rack
Cheap Shares

Here are 2 of my favourite cheap ASX shares to buy today

Looking for a bargain? These two options have popped onto my radar recently.

Read more »