5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Here's what to expect on the ASX 200 on Monday.

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On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) ended the week with a small decline. The benchmark index fell slightly to 7,489.1 points.

Will the market be able to bounce back from this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to fall

The Australian share market looks set for a subdued session on Monday despite a positive finish on Wall Street on Friday. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 3 points lower this morning. On Wall Street, the Dow Jones was up 0.1%, the S&P 500 rose 0.2%, and the Nasdaq climbed 0.1%.

Oil prices climb

It could be a good start to the week for ASX 200 energy shares such as Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) after oil prices rose on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was up 2.2% to US$73.81 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was up 1.5% to US$78.76 a barrel. Rising tensions in the Middle East gave oil prices a boost.

Core Lithium rated as a sell

Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) shares are a sell according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. This follows news that the lithium miner is suspending production to conserve cash while battery material prices are weak. It said: "We reiterate that deferring early works on BP33 development, and now suspending mining operations at Grants, increases the risk of a gap in production in FY25."

Gold price flat

ASX 200 gold shares such as Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) could have a subdued session on Monday after the gold price ended last week flat. According to CNBC, the spot gold price was steady at US$2,049.8 an ounce. And for the week, the precious metal lost 1.1% of its value as rate cut optimism waned.

Buy QBE shares

QBE Insurance Group Ltd (ASX: QBE) shares could have major upside potential according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating on the insurance giant's shares with a trimmed price target of $18.52. This implies a 23% upside from current levels. It said: "We expect the earned premium rates to continue to be well ahead of underlying inflation against a backdrop of moderating reinsurance pressures and perils."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Woodside Energy Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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