5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Monday

Unfortunately, it looks set to be a disappointing day for Aussie investors.

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On Friday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) finished the week with a strong gain. The benchmark index rose 0.9% to 7,442.7 points.

Will the market be able to build on this on Monday? Here are five things to watch:

ASX 200 expected to sink

The Australian share market looks set to give back Friday's gains and more despite a reasonably positive finish to last week on Wall Street. According to the latest SPI futures, the ASX 200 is expected to open the day 74 points or 0.95% lower on Monday. In the United States, the Dow Jones was up 0.15%, the S&P 500 was flat, and the NASDAQ climbed 0.35%.

Oil prices ease

ASX 200 energy shares Beach Energy Ltd (ASX: BPT) and Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) could have a subdued start to the week after oil prices eased on Friday night. According to Bloomberg, the WTI crude oil price was down 0.2% to US$71.43 a barrel and the Brent crude oil price was down 0.1% to US$76.55 a barrel. Mixed economic data weighed on sentiment.

Treasury Wine rated as a buy

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) shares could have major upside potential according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating with a $12.40 price target. In response to its recent acquisition, it said: "We believe a pro-active transition into a more premium portfolio via acquisitions after multiple attempts of organic build is positive."

Gold price falls

It could be a soft start to the week for ASX 200 gold shares such as Newmont Corporation (ASX: NEM) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) after the gold price dropped on Friday. According to CNBC, the spot gold price was down 0.5% to US$2,033.8 an ounce. Nevertheless, the precious metal still recorded a weekly gain thanks to optimism over interest rate cuts.

Capricorn Metals is a buy

Bell Potter thinks that Capricorn Metals Ltd (ASX: CMM) is an ASX 200 share to buy right now. This morning, the broker has retained its buy rating on the gold miner's shares with an improved price target of $5.70. Its analysts highlight that the company's "gold production costs are among the lowest in the sector and it consistently generates strong cash margins."

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

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