'Pricing power': The fallen ASX 200 star that's a bargain buy right now

Add these shares at a 15% discount now, and give it a few years while the business transforms.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Regular readers have heard this many times, but it doesn't make it any less true.

Sometimes quality companies are discounted temporarily, and a fantastic opportunity to buy shares for the long term presents itself.

The analysts at ECP believe Xero Limited (ASX: XRO) is one such S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) stock at the moment.

The tech stock has fallen 5.4% over the past five weeks. It's a 14.7% tumble if you go back to the 20 July peak.

So what's doing here?

Man ponders a receipt as he looks at his laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

Subscription growth disappoints market

In a memo to clients, the ECP team attributed the recent losses to the New Zealand company's first half report last month.

"The result showed the core business is still growing a respectable 22% along with pleasing growth in free cash flow generation. 

"Subscriber growth, however, missed expectations largely due to macro factors."

The accounting software provider and its chief executive Sukhinder Singh Cassidy are playing a delicate balancing game.

Singh Cassidy came in at the start of the year to cut costs and pivot Xero from a cash-burning growth-at-all-costs outfit to one that's more fiscally responsible.

And that means sacrificing some expansion potential.

Such a transformation will take time to complete, but the market has been impatient over the past few weeks.

"Xero is now focusing more on quality revenue growth over subscriber numbers, but despite some progress, the expected margin growth was below expectations."

This 24-bagger ASX 200 stock still has legs

However, ECP analysts are not worried about the ASX 200 business.

"Xero continues to demonstrate both its pricing power and ability to pivot to cash generation, both of which have been key pillars of our investment thesis."

A big ace up Xero's sleeve is that it has a small business client base, who find switching accounting software a drain on time and money that they do not have.

That loyalty is what is often called "stickiness" in stock markets.

Xero has made many investors wealthy since listing on the ASX in 2012 at $4.50. The shares started Thursday at $108.50, making it a 24-bagger in just 11 years.

The tech stock still commands respect among the professional community.

According to CMC Invest, 13 out of 19 analysts currently rate Xero as a buy.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has positions in Xero. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Xero. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

Disappointed man with his head on his hand looking at a falling share price his a laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Brainchip, Fortescue, IGO, and Life360 shares are tumbling today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

a woman sits next to her computer screen with her head in her hands with the screens slowing graphs on downward trajectories.
52-Week Lows

Can the beaten-down CSL share price ever reach $300 again?

CSL is near decade lows. Can it ever climb back?

Read more »

An arrow crashes through the ground as a businessman watches on.
Healthcare Shares

Cochlear stock down 40%: How much has this cost ASX investors?

One day can ruin years of success...

Read more »

Bored man sitting at his desk with his laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Black Cat, Mirvac, Qantas, and Temple & Webster shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough session. But why?

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why Bank of Queensland, Cochlear, Northern Star, and Paladin Energy shares are falling today

These shares are having a difficult time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

An older man wearing glasses and a pink shirt sits back on his lounge with his hands behind his head and blowing air out of his cheeks.
Share Fallers

Why ANZ, Challenger, Hub24, and Lynas shares are dropping today

These shares are under pressure on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Monash IVF, NAB, Viva Energy, and Worley shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Disappointed man with his head on his hand looking at a falling share price his a laptop.
Share Fallers

Why Dateline Resourcs, Northern Star, Rox Resources, and Wesfarmers shares are dropping today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »