Should I buy Woodside shares for the 12% dividend yield?

Is a near-12% yield too good to be true?

| More on:
A woman has a thoughtful look on her face as she studies a fan of Australian 20 dollar bills she is holding on one hand while he rest her other hand on her chin in thought.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

One of the first things you might notice about the Woodside Energy Group Ltd (ASX: WDS) share price at the present time is the seemingly stupendous dividend yield the shares are currently trading on.

Today, Woodside shares are asking $29.13 each at the time of writing, down a hefty 2.35% for the day thus far.

At this price, Woodside shares are sporting a monstrous trailing dividend yield of 11.66%.

That's obviously a huge yield to turn down. Especially when you consider that Woodside's dividends usually come fully franked as well (grossing that yield up to a whopping 16.66%).

So let's talk about whether Woodside shares are a buy for this near-12% yield.

Would I buy Woodside shares for that 12% dividend yield today?

The first thing to note is that this yield checks out. Over 2023, Woodside has paid out two dividends, as is the company's norm. The first was the April final dividend of $1.44 per share. The second was the interim dividend from September, worth $1.243 per share.

Those payouts were both drops over 2022's final and interim dividends of $1.46 and $1.60 per share respectively.

However, despite the obvious attraction of this massive dividend yield, I don't own Woodside shares for their dividend income potential. And probably never will.

See, woodside's dividends are highly cyclical. As an energy and oil company, Woodside's profitability is almost entirely dependent on what the price of oil is at any given moment.

As motorists would know, 2022 and 2023 have seen very high oil prices by historical standards, which in turn have allowed Woodside to fund these huge dividends.

But history tells us that when oil prices drop, so too do the dividends from this company. 2022 may have seen a grand total of $3.06 in dividends per share from Woodside stock. But just one year earlier those same shares yielded just 56.3 cents per share. Remember, a dividend yield reflects the past, not the future.

Trading certainty for a high yield?

I like having certainty in my dividend shares. And that's something you can never expect from a cyclical oil company like Woodside.

Over the past four months or so, the Woodside share price has lost around 25% of its value, probably thanks to falling oil prices. If these falls hold, it's highly likely that 2024's dividends will more closely resemble 2021 than 2022 in my view.

Additionally, I would also struggle to justify including Woodside in a dividend portfolio, purely from concerns that it sells products that the world is desperately trying to turn away from.

So no, I don't personally regard Woodside shares as a buy for dividend income today. But that's just me.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Dividend Investing

Dividend Investing

These buy-rated ASX dividend stocks offer 4% to 7% yields

Brokers think that income investors should be buying these top income options right now.

Read more »

man dressed as santa holding a piggy bank
Dividend Investing

Buy these ASX dividend shares as Christmas presents

Here's why they could be in the buy zone.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Dividend Investing

A 10% dividend yield from an All Ords stock with a forward P/E of 9!

I’m bullish on this stock. Here’s why.

Read more »

Man holding out $50 and $100 notes in his hands, symbolising ex dividend.
Dividend Investing

I'd buy these ASX dividend shares with big yields for income

These are some of the most appealing businesses to me for a big yield.

Read more »

Person holding Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

15 ASX 200 stocks going ex-dividend before New Year's Eve

Looking for some last minute end-of-year dividend income? Better be quick.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Dividend Investing

Top analysts say these ASX 200 dividend shares are great buys

Here's what analysts are saying about these income options right now.

Read more »

Smiling woman with her head and arm on a desk holding $100 notes out, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Why these ASX dividend stocks could be best buys

Bell Potter thinks these dividend stocks are best buys in December.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Dividend Investing

3 quality ASX dividend shares to buy next week

Analysts are tipping these shares as buys for income investors. Let's see what they offer.

Read more »