Goldman Sachs names 4 ASX 200 retail shares to buy right now

Are these the retail shares to buy right now? Let's find out.

| More on:
a fashionable older woman walks side by side with a stylish younger woman in a street setting as they both smile at something they are talking about.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you're looking for some exposure to the retail sector, then it could pay to listed to what Goldman Sachs is saying.

Its analysts have been busy reviewing the sector and have picked out  ASX 200 retail shares that it feels are in the buy zone.

What did Goldman say?

Goldman highlights that November was a strong month for the retail sector after a subdued period. It said:

Bumper "Cyber Month" on consumer deal-hunting: After a muted 3mths of retail growth leading up to Nov, expectations for Black Friday, or rather "Cyber Month" due to earlier retailer activation this year, were high. BCG Consumer Survey of >1,000 consumers on November sales event spending intentions show 60% of consumers planned to purchase (vs 45% in 2021). Average spend of A$395 is +14% YoY. Early indication from Salesforce shows daily monitored online sales is up 3-15% YoY through Cyber week. Specifically, Black Friday was +15% sales, +7% in order volumes.

However, the broker believes that this may have been driven by a pull-forward of sales from December and January. This could mean softer sales for those months. It adds:

Despite a buoyant November, most industry participants expect the significant pull-forward of consumption to result in weak Dec/Jan YoY. Our channel check suggests still excess inventory in apparel/footwear but home goods/electronics is more right-sized. Looking into 1H24, we continue to expect negative sales for key brands of discretionary companies we cover.

In light of this, the broker is being picky when it comes to discretionary retailers.

Which ASX 200 retail shares does the broker like?

In respect to discretionary retailers, the broker believes that Breville Group Ltd (ASX: BRG) and Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL) shares are buys with price targets of $25.70 and $14.40, respectively.

The other two ASX 200 retail shares the broker likes are in the consumer staples space. They are Endeavour Group Ltd (ASX: EDV) and Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW). The broker has buy ratings on them with price targets of $6.40 and $42.40, respectively.

The broker explains:

In our domestic retail coverage, we continue to prefer WOW (Buy, A$42.4/sh TP), EDV (Buy, A$6.4/sh TP), BRG (Buy, A$25.7/sh TP) and SUL (Buy, A$14.4/sh TP) as our key Buy recommendations, due to quality execution with focus on increasingly targeted pricing/value for WOW and EDV, while BRG and SUL are in more resilient categories including high-end small appliance and sports/outdoor and have demonstrated quality execution to win share.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Endeavour Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Super Retail Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Guess which ASX 300 stock is crashing 32% on big news today

Why are investors hitting the sell button today? Let's dig deeper into things.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
Earnings Results

Which ASX 200 stock is up 5% to a 52-week high on results day?

This blue chip is having a strong start to the week. Let's find out why.

Read more »

Woman smiles at camera at she buys greens from the supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Is the Woolworths share price a buy? Here's my view

The supermarket giant has a defensive earnings profile.

Read more »

A square ballot box with an envelope going in it sits on a blue keyboard key that says 'vote'.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Own Star Entertainment shares? Last chance to vote on 'only lifeline' left for company

Independent expert says terms of Bally's takeover unfair but the 'only lifeline' left for Star Entertainment.

Read more »

A woman sits at her home computer with baby on her lap, and the winning ticket in her hand.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

How much upside does Macquarie expect for Lottery Corporation shares?

This ASX 200 stock has proven resilient through various economic conditions.

Read more »

A smiling man take a big bite out of a burrito
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Fundie says Guzman Y Gomez share price 'looks highly attractive'. Here's why

Blackwattle Investment says Guzman Y Gomez's current valuation and risk/reward profile looks very appealing.

Read more »

a bearded man with a big smile wearing a bright red apron holds a knife in one hand and a big slab of cheese in the other as though he is about to slice it.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

What's the upside for Bega shares according to Macquarie?

This broker sees room to grow for this Aussie consumer staples company. 

Read more »

I young woman takes a bite out of a burrito n the street outside a Mexican fast-food establishment.
Broker Notes

How much upside does Macquarie see for Collins Foods shares?

The company is scheduled to report on 24 June.

Read more »