This ASX 200 director has snapped up shares after a 40% crash, should you?

Is this an opportunity worth collecting?

| More on:
A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Credit Corp Group Limited (ASX: CCP) share price has been crunched 40%, is this a good time to invest in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) share? A director certainly thinks so.

As we can see on the chart below, the business is close to a multi-year low and it's not far off the bad part of the COVID-19 crash. It was higher in April 2020 than it is today. It's down 40% from mid-September 2023.

For readers who don't know what the ASX 200 share does, it's a debt collector with operations in both Australia and the US, and it also has a lending division as well.

What's going wrong for Credit Corp shares?

The company recently held its annual general meeting (AGM) for shareholders and changed its guidance.

When it released its FY24 guidance in August 2023, it said it was expecting purchased debt ledger (PDL) investment of between $200 million to $250 million and net lending of between $45 million to $55 million.

The August guidance also suggested net profit after tax (NPAT) guidance of between $90 million to $100 million.

Credit Corp recently revised its guidance to include an impairment, which I'll talk about in a moment. PDL investment and net lending guidance were the same, but excluding the impairment, the underlying NPAT guidance for FY24 is $80 million to $90 million, while statutory NPAT is guided to be between $35 million to $45 million.

The company said that there has been a sustained deterioration in US collection conditions, with increased repayment plan delinquencies emerging in the FY23 fourth quarter and that has persisted throughout the first quarter of FY24.

That's why the ASX 200 share decided to re-forecast the remaining collections to reflect a continuation of these conditions over the medium term.

The estimated impairment is 14% of the FY24 opening US PDL book (being $45 million of NPAT). The current US segment NPAT outlook was reduced by $10 million.

However, Credit Corp did point to sustained US operational productivity improvement. Lending growth is "tracking to expectation" with "strong demand", arrears are dropping and the business is expecting free cash flow to jump in the second half of FY24 compared to the FY24 first half.

Director buys shares

It was recently announced by the ASX 200 share that director James Millar bought 9,000 Credit Corp shares for a total of $111,681. That works out to be a Credit Corp share price of $12.40.

When a director buys shares it's often seen as a vote of confidence in the company, as well as a tick of approval that the current valuation is attractive.

While the short-term may be uncertain and volatile, the business may be able to achieve a turnaround in the longer term. I'd say that's what management is thinking and hoping.

Should you invest $1,000 in Credit Corp Group Limited right now?

Before you buy Credit Corp Group Limited shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Credit Corp Group Limited wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 30 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Financial Shares

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
Financial Shares

Here's what Macquarie thinks QBE shares are worth after reviewing 18 global insurers

Macquarie has just issued a new note on QBE shares.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
Financial Shares

Should I buy the dip on Macquarie shares now?

Atop their reliable passive income, Macquarie shares offer growth potential, according to this leading expert.

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Financial Shares

Guess which ASX 200 bank stock just crashed 19% on shock news

Investors have been hitting the sell button in a panic this afternoon.

Read more »

Two CEOs shaking hands on a deal.
Financial Shares

This ASX 300 stock is jumping on surprise merger news

This stock could be having a very big makeover.

Read more »

Man smiling at a laptop because of a rising share price.
Financial Shares

How this quality ASX 200 stock is 'ideally placed' for years of growth

A leading expert expects more outperformance from this high-flying ASX 200 stock.

Read more »

Cheerful boyfriend showing mobile phone to girlfriend in dining room. They are spending leisure time together at home and planning their financial future.
Financial Shares

Looking for financial stocks outside the big 4 banks?

With the financial sector down to start the year, could these stocks provide upside?

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Financial Shares

This leading broker just upgraded AMP shares to 'outperform'. Here's why

This top broker just turned bullish on AMP shares. But why?

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Financial Shares

Up 53% in a year, why is this ASX 200 financial stock leaping higher again today?

Investors are sending the ASX 200 financial stock soaring on Wednesday. Let’s see why.

Read more »