Australia and China are best friends now. Here's the ASX stock to buy

Beijing's attitude to Canberra has very much warmed this week, making one expert bullish on this share.

| More on:
A group of people clink wine glasses in an outdoor, late afternoon setting to celebrate the rising Treasury Wine share price

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

sdf

Australian prime minister Anthony Albanese is currently on a long-awaited tour of China to mend the relationship between the two nations.

He shook hands with Chinese president Xi Jinping on Monday night as the latter promised to improve rapport with Australia after years of enmity.

Xi even made a joke about Hollywood film Kung Fu Panda, which political commentators interpreted as a sign of success for the meeting.

So that's great that Australia is back in the good books with its largest trading partner.

Investors could now be wondering which is the best ASX stock that could take advantage of this new warm and fuzzy feeling.

What happened with Australia and China?

The Australia-China relationship deteriorated with the previous Australian federal government, especially in 2020 after it called for an independent enquiry into the origins of COVID-19.

Beijing retaliated with economically coercive measures, namely slapping massive tariffs on certain imports coming from Australia.

One of the big losers, if not the biggest, from that time was Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE).

The company was selling wines like hotcakes to a massive Chinese middle class looking for imported luxuries.

Then overnight a huge tax was levied on Australian wine imports, and that market almost completely disappeared.

You can even see how that happened in August 2020 by spotting the painful dip in the Treasury Wine share price graph.

Perhaps the catalyst this ASX stock needed

This is why Shaw and Partners portfolio manager James Gerrish is tipping Treasury Wine shares to push higher over the medium term.

"Treasury Wine closed up 4.3% on Monday as the feedback from prime minister Albanese's visit to China became increasingly encouraging," he said to Market Matters subscribers.

Despite the warming relations between the countries, the Treasury stock price had stalled because of its capital raise to fund its huge $1.6 billion takeover of US winemaker Daou.

Now the diplomatic visit might finally give it the push it needs.

"China has offered to negotiate the removal of its tariffs on imports of Australian wine, which is great news for Treasury Wine looking forward."

The Treasury Wine share price closed Tuesday at $11.46.

Existing shareholders have a chance to buy more stock at $10.80 through the capital raise.

"We remain bullish on Treasury Wine with an initial target of $14, or +20% higher."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A person sitting at a desk smiling and looking at a computer.
Broker Notes

4 ASX tech shares impressing analysts today

Four technology companies featured prominently in Wilson Asset Management's recent investment updates.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names the best ASX shares to buy

Let's see which shares the broker is bullish on this month.

Read more »

Business man at desk looking out window with his arms behind his head at a view of the city and stock trends overlay.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

I young woman takes a bite out of a burrito n the street outside a Mexican fast-food establishment.
Broker Notes

How much upside does Macquarie see for Collins Foods shares?

The company is scheduled to report on 24 June.

Read more »

A team in a corporate office shares a pizza while standing around a table chatting about the Domino's share price.
Broker Notes

JP Morgan upgrades Domino's Pizza shares

Does the broker expect things to turn around?

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Can CBA and Telstra shares keep rising?

Let's see what one broker is saying about these giants.

Read more »

Business man at desk looking out window with his arms behind his head at a view of the city and stock trends overlay.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.
Broker Notes

These ASX 200 shares could rise 25% to 80%

Analysts think big returns could be on offer from these shares.

Read more »