'Only positives to come': Is now the time to buy Treasury Wine shares?

Treasury Wine shares are leaping higher today.

| More on:
Smiling person with tattoos enjoying a glass of wine with a group of others.

Image Source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Treasury Wine Estates Ltd (ASX: TWE) shares are up almost 3% in early trade on Monday.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) global wine company closed on Friday trading for $11.77. At the time of writing, shares are swapping hands for $12.12 apiece.

For some context, the ASX 200 is down 0.6% at this same time.

Here's what's piquing ASX 200 investor interest today. And why now may still be an opportune time to snap up some Treasury Wine shares.

All eyes on China

Treasury Wine has faced some stiff headwinds since China slapped punitive tariffs on numerous Australian exports in 2020, including wine.

China implemented the punishing duties in the wake of the Aussie government's support for an international investigation into the origins of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Prior to imposing those tariffs, China represented Australia's biggest wine export market.

After almost four years, Treasury Wine shares are getting a welcome boost today on news that China may be ready to remove its wine duties.

Over the weekend, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced the suspension of Australia and China's trade dispute with the World Trade Organisation (WTO) after China agreed to an "expedited review" of the wine tariffs.

"We're very confident that this will result in, once again, Australian wine – a great product – being able to go to China free of the tariffs which have been imposed," Albanese said (quoted by The Canberra Times).

Albanese noted that one out of every four Aussie jobs was dependent on trade. He added that  "our most significant trading partner in terms of our exports is China".

How did Treasury Wine react?

In an ASX announcement this morning, Treasury Wine welcomed the news, noting that the tariff review was expected to take up to five months.

The company said it was "well placed to rebuild its business in China" if the punitive tariffs were removed. It cited a series of plans it would implement progressively over time. Treasury Wine stressed that its rebuilding plans for the Chinese market would not come at the expense of long-term growth opportunities in its other key markets.

Commenting on the news sending Treasury Wine shares sharply higher today, CEO Tim Ford said:

It's great to see an agreement for an expedited pathway forward to allow our Australian brands and wine to be sold in the Chinese market.

There are only positives to come out of a favourable review for the Chinese consumer, customers and the wine category, for the Australian wine industry and for TWE.

How have Treasury Wine shares been tracking?

Despite today's boost, Treasury Wine shares remain down 3% over the past 12 months.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Treasury Wine Estates. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Two funeral workers with a laptop surrounded by cofins.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

One under-the-radar ASX 300 stock with 'inbuilt growth'

A funds management team is a fan of this ASX share.

Read more »

Robot hand and human hand touching the same space on a digital screen, symbolising artificial intelligence.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Coles shares lift amid AI agreement with Microsoft

The supermarket giant is partnering with the tech giant to boost its AI capabilities.

Read more »

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A2 Milk shares rocket 18% on guidance upgrade and big dividend news

The infant formula company is finally going to start paying dividends to shareholders.

Read more »

A man in a suit face palms at the downturn happening with shares today.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is this ASX 300 stock crashing 15% today?

Let's see how this popular stock is performing so far in FY 2025.

Read more »

Happy couple laughing while shopping in supermarket
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Coles shares: Broker says the 'risk-reward is attractive'

Ord Minnett has good things to say about the supermarket giant following its quarterly update.

Read more »

A man looks a little perplexed as he holds his hand to his head as if thinking about something as he stands in the aisle of a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Down 20% this year, can Woolworths shares catch a break?

The headlines continue this week.

Read more »

A man looks sadly away from his computer screen as he holds a slice of pizza in his hand with an open pizza box in front of him on his desk.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

3 reasons this expert is selling Domino's shares now

Down 48% in 2024, why this investing expert recommends selling Domino’s shares.

Read more »

a car driver sits up and looks alert with wide eyes and an expression of concentration while he holds the wheel of a car.
Share Fallers

Why this ASX All Ordinaries stock just crashed 24%!

Investors are punishing the ASX All Ords company today. Let’s find out why.

Read more »