The gold price just topped all-time Aussie dollar highs. Is it too late to buy ASX 200 gold stocks?

The gold price just hit a fresh all-time high of AU$3,140.45 per ounce.

| More on:
a woman in a business suit holds a large solid gold bar in both hands with a superimposed image of a gagged gold line tracking upwards and featuring a swooping curved arrow pointing upwards.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The gold price just notched a fresh all-time high.

At least, it's done so in Aussie dollar terms.

In afternoon trade on Friday, the yellow metal is fetching US$1,979.11 per ounce, according to data from Bloomberg.

That's still some US$55 per ounce shy of hitting new record highs in US dollars.

But with the Aussie dollar having sunk to 63.02 cents relative to the greenback, the gold price has now reached a new all-time high of AU$3,140.45 per ounce.

As you'd expect, that's ushered in some welcome tailwinds for ASX gold stocks.

While the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) is down 2.2% since last Friday's close, the Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) share price is up 10.6%. And the Evolution Mining Ltd (ASX: EVN) share price has gained 7.7% over this same time.

Both gold miners are predominantly focused in Australia. Meaning most of their costs are incurred in Aussie dollars, while the gold they sell is priced in US dollars.

But with the gold price already at record Aussie dollar highs, is it too late to buy these ASX 200 gold stocks?

Record Aussie dollar gold price lifts leading ASX 200 gold stocks

The share price gains of the past week have followed a strong year for both of these ASX 200 gold stocks.

Over the past 12 months, the Northern Star share price has gained 55%. Evolution shares have performed even better, gaining a whopping 100%.

While much of that success should go to the mining teams, management and their quality assets, both stocks have also enjoyed strong tailwinds from a rising gold price.

A year ago the yellow metal was trading for US$1,629.44 per ounce. With the Aussie dollar trading for 62.73 cents on the US dollar at the time, that equates to AU$2,597.54 per ounce.

Now, obviously the future gold price remains unknown.

But with global conflict on the rise and economic uncertainty driving strong central bank bullion purchases, I believe gold's safe haven asset could well see it break back above US$2,000 per ounce and beyond in the months ahead.

That would be good news for Northern Star, which reported all-in sustaining costs (AISC) of AU$1,939 per ounce over the September quarter.

And Evolution's AISC came in even lower over the quarter, at AU$1,612 per ounce.

Even at the current gold price of AU$3,140.45 per ounce, these figures bode well for the profit margins and share price outlook of these ASX 200 gold stocks.

Not to mention their dividend payouts.

Evolution currently trades at a fully franked trailing yield of 1.1%.

Northern Star shares trade at a partly franked trailing yield of 2.2%.

Should the gold price run higher, or the Aussie dollar slide further relative to the greenback, both ASX 200 gold stocks should see their profit margins increase, likely benefiting their shareholders.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Gold

Gold bars on top of gold coins.
Gold

One ASX 200 gold stock with the 'potential for exceptional free cash flow growth'

This fund manager has a favourite stock in the gold sector right now.

Read more »

Woman holding gold bar and cheering.
Gold

Why are ASX gold shares rebounding today?

ASX investors are going for gold today.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Gold

Newmont share price races higher on $1.3b windfall

This gold miner is catching the eye on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A cool man smiles as he is draped in gold cloth and wearing gold glasses.
Gold

4 reasons to buy this ASX 200 gold stock today

A leading expert has a buy recommendation on this ASX 200 gold stock. Let’s find out why.

Read more »

a man wearing a gold shirt smiles widely as he is engulfed in a shower of gold confetti falling from the sky. representing a new gold discovery by ASX mining share OzAurum Resources
Gold

Why this 'sector leading' ASX 200 gold stock could deliver market-beating returns

Bell Potter thinks golden returns could be on offer from this mining stock.

Read more »

Man drawing illustration of a big fish eating a little fish representing a takeover or acquisition.
Gold

Guess which buy-rated ASX gold stock is 'a likely takeover target'

Bell Potter thinks that this gold stock could deliver big returns.

Read more »

Gold bars and Australian dollar notes.
Gold

Down 21% in a month, should you buy Newmont shares before they trade ex-dividend?

This gold stock has been battered by the markets.

Read more »

A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.
Gold

Why is this ASX 300 stock crashing 32% on Monday?

Let's find out why investors are hitting the panic button this morning.

Read more »