'Our preferred lithium exposure': Allkem share price tipped to rocket

Here's how it is possible to be bearish on lithium prices but bullish on a lithium miner.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Allkem Ltd (ASX: AKE) share price has been having a tough time of late.

Since this time last month, the lithium miner's shares have lost 15% of their value.

This has been driven by material weakness in lithium prices, which has spooked the market.

A young man goes over his finances and investment portfolio at home.

Image source: Getty Images

Is the Allkem share price weakness a buying opportunity?

While the pullback in the Allkem share price has been disappointing for shareholders, it could be a buying opportunity for investors looking for options in the lithium space.

That's because a large number of brokers are predicting big returns from its shares over the next 12 months.

For example, Bell Potter currently has a buy rating and an $18.10 price target on its shares, which implies over 60% upside.

Elsewhere, Goldman Sachs is bullish and has a buy rating and $16.80 price target, and Macquarie has an outperform rating and $17.50 price target.

Goldman's view

Of all these brokers, Goldman Sachs' view is arguably the most interesting.

That's because it has been very vocal about where it thinks lithium prices are heading (down) in the coming years.

Despite this bearish view on the price of the battery-making ingredient, its analysts say that Allkem "is our preferred lithium exposure" and see significant upside in its share price.

This is due to the company's production growth plans, which it believes will keep its earnings strong if prices fall. And if they don't, that's an added bonus! Goldman explains:

Allkem has one of the best production outlooks in our lithium coverage, with broad-based growth optionality. This drives our forecast for the company's equity LCE production growth of ~4x over five years to FY28E, supporting earnings rebounding to near current record levels despite the declining lithium price environment. AKE expect growth projects to be fully funded from existing corporate cash, existing or new corporate debt/project finance facilities and cash flow from operations.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Allkem. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group and Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Materials Shares

Why this ASX mining stock could be a strong buy after major milestone

Bell Potter is recommending this stock to clients.

Read more »

A hand holding a lump of rare earths material against a blue sky.
Materials Shares

This ASX critical minerals company could more than double in value: Broker

An important US government milestone was achieved this week.

Read more »

A group of people gathered around a laptop computer with various expressions of interest, concern and surprise on their faces as they review the payouts from ASX dividend stocks. All are wearing glasses.
Resources Shares

Buy, hold, or sell? South32, Capstone Copper, and BHP shares

Let's see what the experts think.

Read more »

A man wearing a suit holds his arms aloft, attached to a large lithium battery with green charging symbols on it.
Materials Shares

PLS shares jump 320% in 12 months: Buy, sell or hold?

The lithium miner has flown from strength to strength over the past year.

Read more »

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Materials Shares

Morgans just placed buy ratings on these ASX materials stocks

These two stocks could be worth adding to your portfolio according to Morgans.

Read more »

Female miner in hard hat and safety vest on laptop with mining drill in background.
Materials Shares

Why Lynas could be one of the ASX's biggest winners again today

Lynas is gaining strategic value as rare earths tensions rise.

Read more »

Two workers on site discuss the next stage of this civil engineering job.
Materials Shares

Is takeover tension sending this ASX steel stock soaring?

Strong fundamentals and takeover speculation have pushed this share up 42%.

Read more »

Smiling worker in metal landfill.
Materials Shares

Another US milestone, another share price drop: What's going on with this ASX stock?

Metallium hits another US milestone, but shares slip again on Tuesday.

Read more »