Should you buy Qantas shares now that they're cheap?

The besieged airline has seen its stock price plummet 23% since late July.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you've been reading the newspapers, you would already know Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN)'s reputation is in the toilet.

Just some of the recent scandals have included allegedly selling seats on cancelled flights, illegally sacking 1,683 staff, backflipping on its plan to pocket $500 million worth of customer credits, and currying favour from politicians and family members with luxury lounge access.

Understandably, the share price has nosedived — pun intended — more than 23% since 25 July.

So does this mean the red kangaroo is now a red-hot buy for investors looking for a bargain?

Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.

Image source: Getty Images

'Asia's worst performing airline stock'

Firstly, it's worth noting that 12 out of 15 analysts currently surveyed on CMC Markets still rate Qantas shares as a buy.

But that sentiment might be starting to turn.

Nine newspapers reported on Tuesday that the aviation stock has copped a downgrade to sell from CLSA equity analyst Justin Barratt.

"[The downgrade is] the first since the business' reputation plummeted after a shocking month.

"Qantas is Asia's worst performing airline stock this month, as first reported by Bloomberg."

Shaw and Partners portfolio manager James Gerrish was asked on a Market Matters Q&A whether his team would now buy Qantas shares on the dip.

The bad news for the airline is that he doesn't think it's cheap enough yet.

"We aren't fans of Qantas around $5.30, even after its recent 24% pullback."

Qantas shares closed Tuesday at $5.16 apiece.

Upgrade for passengers, but a downgrade for investors?

The harsh reality for Qantas is that it has a lot of spending ahead of it to improve its customer service, in order to rebuild its tattered image.

"The last 5 to 10 years has seen Qantas focus on profitability at the cost of the customer experience," said Gerrish. 

"Short term decisions and a lack of investment in [its] fleet will provide a headwind from here."

That's great for those of us travelling, but not necessarily a positive for investors.

"The next few years will be spent [focusing] more on the customer, which is good for us, but not as good for profitability. 

"Share prices follow earnings over time, so we are neutral observers until further notice, seeing better value/opportunities elsewhere — for now at least."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

A woman ponders a question as she puts money into a piggy bank with a model plane and suitcase nearby.
Travel Shares

Down 33%: Here are 3 reasons I'd buy Qantas shares

Rising fuel costs and global uncertainty are weighing on this airline. Is it a buying opportunity?

Read more »

Falling plane share price represented by a declining line with a model plane at the end.
Travel Shares

Is the Qantas share price a buy? Here's an expert's view

Is this a good time to invest in the airline?

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane looking through a window and working on a laptop.
Travel Shares

Webjet and Web Travel Group: Are these ASX travel shares a buy?

It's a sector under pressure, but these ASX travel shares may still offer opportunity.

Read more »

Couple at an airport waiting for their flight.
Travel Shares

The pros and cons of buying Qantas shares this month

Should investors buy the airline during this volatility?

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.
Travel Shares

Why a $700 million move into Qantas shares is turning heads today

AustralianSuper builds a major stake in Qantas.

Read more »

A smiling boy holds a toy plane aloft while a girl watches on from a car near an airport runway.
Travel Shares

This ASX travel stock is rising after a major capital management milestone

Flight Centre rises after completing buyback and cleaning up debt.

Read more »

A woman's hair is blown back and her face is in shock at this big news.
Travel Shares

Are Virgin Australia shares a buy after flying 7% higher on Wednesday?

Find out how far analysts are tipping the airline's shares to run.

Read more »

A woman reaches her arms to the sky as a plane flies overhead at sunset.
Travel Shares

Here's why Virgin Australia shares are flying 7% higher today

The airline has maintained its FY26 outlook, with fuel hedging offsetting higher fuel prices.

Read more »