'Valuation remains attractive' for Qantas shares

Goldman Sachs remains bullish on Qantas despite its recent troubles.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) shares have been having an incredibly turbulent time of late.

So much so, the airline operator's shares are now flying closer to their 52-week low than their 52-week high.

One leading broker that believes this could be an excellent buying opportunity for investors is Goldman Sachs.

A couple carrying suitcases arm in arm at the airport.

Image source: Getty Images

What is Goldman saying about Qantas shares?

The broker highlights that Qantas has just released a market update outlining an increased investment in customer experience and expectations for higher fuel costs.

While this is disappointing, it was pleased to see that "overall demand levels remain strong with 1Q24 trading conditions consistent with 4Q23 levels." Another positive is that it believes 70% of its higher fuel expenses will be recovered through higher revenue per available seat kilometre/ticket prices.

Overall, this has led to the broker only cutting its earnings per share estimate for FY 2024 by 12% to 95 cents.

'Valuation remains attractive'

Goldman believes the company's "valuation remains attractive" at current levels and has a conviction buy rating and a trimmed price target of $8.25. This implies a potential upside of approximately 58% for Qantas shares over the next 12 months.

And while the broker isn't expecting any dividends this financial year, it is worth noting that it is forecasting a very attractive 5.7% dividend yield for both FY 2025 and FY 2026.

In light of the above, Goldman continues to believe that the market is undervaluing the company's improved earnings capacity. It concludes:

QAN's current market capitalisation and enterprise value are 17% below and 24% below pre-COVID levels. As such, we believe QAN is not priced for a generic recovery, let alone prospects for improved earnings capacity. We continue to see upside associated with substantially improved MT earnings capacity and include QAN in our regional Conviction List.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

Man sitting in a plane looking through a window and working on a laptop.
Mergers & Acquisitions

Flight Centre shares lift amid latest UK acquisition news

Flight Centre announced a new UK-based acquisition today.

Read more »

Couple at an airport waiting for their flight.
Travel Shares

Is the Qantas share price dirt cheap after falling 30%?

Let's see whether the market is overreacting to short-term headwinds.

Read more »

Smiling woman looking through a plane window.
Travel Shares

How high does Macquarie think Qantas shares will go?

The company is well-placed to weather tough times, analysts say.

Read more »

A plane flies into storm clouds.
Travel Shares

What's next for Virgin Australia, Qantas shares as fuel prices surge?

Aussie airlines are already feeling the pinch.

Read more »

A person holding a suitcase waves goodbye as the sun sets outside the airport terminal.
Travel Shares

ASX travel shares are hovering near yearly lows – time to buy?

These 3 ASX travel shares could be undervalued right now.

Read more »

Woman on a tablet waiting in for her flight in an airport and looking through a window.
Travel Shares

Virgin Australia shares slide again as global turmoil rattles key partnership

Virgin Australia shares drop as the Middle East war hits international flights.

Read more »

A woman wearing a mask at the airport gets ready to travel again with Qantas.
Travel Shares

Qantas shares flying through $105 million legal turbulence

Qantas is still working to absolve itself of COVID-related operating issues.

Read more »

Australian dollar notes in the pocket of a man's jeans, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

How many Qantas shares do I need to buy for a $10,000 annual passive income?

Qantas shares resumed their passive income payouts in 2025.

Read more »