ASX 200 turns red following latest consumer confidence data

Consumer confidence is weaker despite paused interest rates and declining inflation.

| More on:
a woman with a narrow mouthed face looks down as she cuts her credit card with a pair of scissors.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) was rising in early trading before taking a U-turn amid news that consumer confidence is weaker despite interest rates remaining on hold for three consecutive months.

The ASX 200 is currently down 0.48% or 34.5 points to 7,157.8 points in late morning trading.

Let's take a look at the numbers.

Two surveys show consumer confidence is lower

ANZ-Roy Morgan released its latest consumer confidence data this morning.

Consumer confidence fell 1.1 points over the past week to reach 77.6 points.

This sets a new record, with the confidence metric below 80 points for 28 consecutive weeks.

ANZ-Roy Morgan says confidence is now 8.1 points lower compared to the same time last year.

It's also below the 2023 weekly average of 78.1 points.

ANZ economist Madeline Dunk said:

The recent upswing in ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence has hit a roadblock, with the index falling 1.1pts last week.

This is despite the RBA keeping the cash rate on hold at its September meeting, and the Q2 GDP data suggesting that Australia is on track for a soft landing.

Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) also released its own consumer confidence data at 10.30am.

The bank's survey also showed a 1.7% decline in confidence to 79.7 points in September.

According to The Australian, Westpac chief economist Bill Evans says there is persistent pessimism due to the impact of high inflation and the cost of living crisis playing out today.

What's the latest news on inflation?

The latest monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data was released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on 30 August.

As my colleague Bernd reported, the annual inflation rate fell to 4.9% in July. This compares to 5.4% in June and the peak rate of 8.4% recorded in December 2022.

Housing costs rose by 7.3% in July, making it the biggest contributor to inflation in July.

Dunk commented:

There was a sharp fall in confidence amongst renters last week.

And while consumer confidence remains lowest for those households with a mortgage, confidence amongst this group has lifted to its highest level in five months.

The federal Greens' call for a national rent freeze appears dead after they agreed to support Labor's $10 billion Housing Australia Future Fund in exchange for an extra $1 billion in public housing spending.

The Greens wanted national cabinet to agree to a temporary rent freeze in light of the fastest annual rent increases ever recorded across the combined capital cities.

What's the latest news on interest rates?

The Reserve Bank decided to keep interest rates on hold again at its meeting last Tuesday.

In a statement, the RBA explained its decision:

The higher interest rates are working to establish a more sustainable balance between supply and demand in the economy and will continue to do so.

In light of this and the uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook, the Board again decided to hold interest rates steady this month.

This will provide further time to assess the impact of the increase in interest rates to date and the economic outlook.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in Anz Group and Westpac Banking Corporation. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Economy

A graphic illustration with the words NASDAQ atop a US city and currency
International Stock News

Why Big Tech became a huge wreck across the Nasdaq last night

Jerome Powell and his compadres shocked the market with an unexpected outlook.

Read more »

Unsure man analysing data on laptop.
Share Market News

Why is the ASX 200 down by so much today?

ASX 200 investors are favouring their sell buttons today. But why?

Read more »

A man with arms spread yells as he plunges into a swimming pool.
Share Market News

Why did the ASX 200 just nosedive on the latest Aussie labour figures?

ASX 200 investors hit their sell buttons following the November Aussie labour data.

Read more »

Multiple percentage signs in the palm of a man's hand.
Economy

What every ASX investor should know about interest rates in 2025

It's time to prepare for the next move in interest rates.

Read more »

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
Share Market News

ASX 200 lifts off on final RBA interest rate decision before 2025

The ASX 200 leapt higher following the RBA interest rate announcement.

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Share Market News

What does October's HOT retail data mean for interest rates and ASX 200 investors?

The cost of living crunch isn’t keeping Aussie consumers from spending big.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Share Market News

What ASX 200 investors just learned about inflation and interest rates

Here’s what the ABS just reported.

Read more »

Woman and man calculating a dividend yield.
Share Market News

What ASX 200 investors just learned from the RBA's interest rate minutes

Will ASX 200 Index investors get interest rate relief before Christmas?

Read more »