Why is the Fortescue share price sinking again today?

This mining giant's shares have opened the week deep in the red.

| More on:
A man slumps crankily over his morning coffee as it pours with rain outside.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) share price is falling heavily for a second session in a row.

In morning trade, the iron ore giant's shares are down almost 5% to $19.40.

Why is the Fortescue share price sinking?

Don't worry, today's weakness isn't because another member of the C-suite has resigned, nor has another broker slapped a sell rating on its shares.

The weakness in the Fortescue share price today has been driven by the miner's shares going ex-dividend this morning.

When a share goes ex-dividend, it means the rights to an upcoming dividend are now settled. As a result, anyone buying its shares today will not be entitled to receive this payout and its shares have dropped to reflect this. After all, you wouldn't want to pay for something you won't receive.

Fortescue dividend

If you're an eligible shareholder, then you can now look forward to receiving the upcoming Fortescue dividend later this month.

The mining giant plans to pay this fully franked $1 per share final dividend on 28 September.

Based on the Fortescue share price at the close of play on Friday, this final dividend equates to an attractive 4.9% dividend yield.

What's next?

Unfortunately, Goldman Sachs expects the dividend cuts to continue for the foreseeable future.

Goldman expects the miner to cut its dividend by more than 50% to 54 US cents (84 Australian cents) per share in FY 2024. After which, a cut to 36 US cents (56 Australian cents) per share is expected in FY 2025. Goldman commented:

We continue to think FMG is at an inflection point on capital allocation, and to fund the ambitious strategy, we assume the company raises ~US$6bn of new debt, reduces the dividend payout ratio from the current ~65% in 2H FY23 to ~50% from FY24 onwards (bottom end of the 50-80% guidance range), and increases gross gearing to >30% by FY27 (in-line with the company's target of 30-40%).

The broker has a sell rating and a lowly $13.80 price target on Fortescue's shares.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Image from either construction, mining or the oil industry of a friendly worker.
Materials Shares

Up 14% in two weeks: Can Rio Tinto shares keep rising?

Goldman Sachs has given its verdict on the mining giant this morning.

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Materials Shares

Why did the Pilbara Minerals share price smash the market in September?

This lithium miner caught the eye last month. Let's see why investors were buying its shares.

Read more »

a group of five engineers wearing hard hats and some in high visibility vests raise their arms in happy celebration atop a building site with construction and equipment in the background.
Materials Shares

Liontown share price surges on full year results, lithium shipment, and spot sale news

This lithium miner has been very busy recently. Here's what's happening.

Read more »

View of a mining or construction worker through giant metal pipes.
Share Market News

Here's how the ASX 200 market sectors stacked up last week

ASX materials shares rose by an extraordinary 9.37% while the ASX 200 lifted 0.68% last week.

Read more »

A young child stands against a wall holding measuring tape behind them as they wish not to be so short
Materials Shares

Should I sell my Pilbara Minerals shares since they're the most shorted on the ASX?

Is the ASX's most shorted stock a sell?

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Materials Shares

Why is this ASX lithium stock jumping 7% on Friday?

This lithium developer made an announcement this morning. Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

CSR share price rising asx share price represented my man in hard hat giving thumbs up
Materials Shares

Why today is a very good day to own Fortescue shares

This mining giant's shares should be smiling on Friday. But why?

Read more »

Business women working from home with stock market chart showing per cent change on her laptop screen.
Materials Shares

Planning to buy Liontown shares? Here's your FY24 results preview

What do analysts expect the lithium miner to report?

Read more »