Why did the BHP share price fall in a hole in August?

The Big Australian's shares had a tough month.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price was out of form in August.

During the month, the mining behemoth's shares dropped 2.5%.

This compares to a 1.4% decline by the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) over the same period.

Female worker sitting desk with head in hand and looking fed up

Image source: Getty Images

Why did the BHP share price fall in August?

The main drag on the Big Australian's shares last month was the release of its FY 2023 results.

For the 12 months ended 30 June, BHP reported a 17% decline in revenue to US$53.8 billion and a 31% decline in underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) to US$28 billion. This was driven by a combination of higher costs and lower commodity prices.

While a soft result was expected by the market, this was still short of expectations. The consensus estimate, for example, was revenue of US$54,363 million and EBITDA of US$28,072 million.

In addition, BHP's dividend fell a touch short of estimates in FY 2023. The mining giant's board declared a fully franked final dividend of 80 US cents per share, bringing its full-year dividend to US$1.70 per share.

This was a 48% year on year reduction and just short of the consensus estimate of US$1.72 per share.

Also potentially weighing on the BHP share price was management's commentary regarding inflation. After experiencing an effective inflation rate of 10% in FY 2023, BHP warned that the lagged impacts were expected to continue into FY 2024, particularly for labour costs.

Is this a buying opportunity?

Despite the soft result, a number of brokers remain positive on the mining giant. One of those is Morgans, which has retained its add rating and $51 price target.

Based on the current BHP share price, this implies a potential upside of almost 14% over the next 12 months. The broker also expects a 5.9% fully franked dividend yield in FY 2024, which stretches the total return to approximately 20%.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A man wearing a suit and holding an EV charger gives the thumbs up.
Materials Shares

3 reasons to buy this high flying ASX lithium stock for the long term

World-class assets, strong balance sheet, and smart growth support long-term outlook.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Is this ASX iron ore stock a better buy than Fortescue?

Bell Potter thinks this stock could rise 90%.

Read more »

Lion holding and screaming into a yellow loudspeaker on a blue background, symbolising an announcement from Liontown.
Materials Shares

Are Liontown shares a buy, hold, or sell?

Ord Minnett has given its verdict on this lithium miner.

Read more »

two business people shake hands through the glass wall of a business office with a board table and laptop computer in view between them.
Materials Shares

A major long-term deal is lifting this ASX stock today

Nufarm shares are edging higher after locking in a long-term biofuels deal.

Read more »

Miner holding a silver nugget.
Materials Shares

Why are these ASX silver stocks racing higher today?

A 4% silver rise sparked double-digit gains in silver shares.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Materials Shares

Why is this ASX rare earths stock storming 7% higher today?

This stock is having a strong session. Let's see what is getting investors excited.

Read more »

A smiling man wearing a collared blue shirt and black jacket holds a piece of black rock containing rare earths.
Materials Shares

This major update just sent Lynas shares higher today

Lynas shares rise after announcing a key rare earth production milestone.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Materials Shares

Core Lithium shares tumble after $120m capital raising for Finniss restart

It won't be long until the company is producing lithium again.

Read more »