Why did the BHP share price fall in a hole in August?

The Big Australian's shares had a tough month.

| More on:
Female worker sitting desk with head in hand and looking fed up

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price was out of form in August.

During the month, the mining behemoth's shares dropped 2.5%.

This compares to a 1.4% decline by the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) over the same period.

Why did the BHP share price fall in August?

The main drag on the Big Australian's shares last month was the release of its FY 2023 results.

For the 12 months ended 30 June, BHP reported a 17% decline in revenue to US$53.8 billion and a 31% decline in underlying earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortisation (EBITDA) to US$28 billion. This was driven by a combination of higher costs and lower commodity prices.

While a soft result was expected by the market, this was still short of expectations. The consensus estimate, for example, was revenue of US$54,363 million and EBITDA of US$28,072 million.

In addition, BHP's dividend fell a touch short of estimates in FY 2023. The mining giant's board declared a fully franked final dividend of 80 US cents per share, bringing its full-year dividend to US$1.70 per share.

This was a 48% year on year reduction and just short of the consensus estimate of US$1.72 per share.

Also potentially weighing on the BHP share price was management's commentary regarding inflation. After experiencing an effective inflation rate of 10% in FY 2023, BHP warned that the lagged impacts were expected to continue into FY 2024, particularly for labour costs.

Is this a buying opportunity?

Despite the soft result, a number of brokers remain positive on the mining giant. One of those is Morgans, which has retained its add rating and $51 price target.

Based on the current BHP share price, this implies a potential upside of almost 14% over the next 12 months. The broker also expects a 5.9% fully franked dividend yield in FY 2024, which stretches the total return to approximately 20%.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Image from either construction, mining or the oil industry of a friendly worker.
Materials Shares

Up 14% in two weeks: Can Rio Tinto shares keep rising?

Goldman Sachs has given its verdict on the mining giant this morning.

Read more »

A happy male investor turns around on his chair to look at a friend while a laptop runs on his desk showing share price movements
Materials Shares

Why did the Pilbara Minerals share price smash the market in September?

This lithium miner caught the eye last month. Let's see why investors were buying its shares.

Read more »

a group of five engineers wearing hard hats and some in high visibility vests raise their arms in happy celebration atop a building site with construction and equipment in the background.
Materials Shares

Liontown share price surges on full year results, lithium shipment, and spot sale news

This lithium miner has been very busy recently. Here's what's happening.

Read more »

View of a mining or construction worker through giant metal pipes.
Share Market News

Here's how the ASX 200 market sectors stacked up last week

ASX materials shares rose by an extraordinary 9.37% while the ASX 200 lifted 0.68% last week.

Read more »

A young child stands against a wall holding measuring tape behind them as they wish not to be so short
Materials Shares

Should I sell my Pilbara Minerals shares since they're the most shorted on the ASX?

Is the ASX's most shorted stock a sell?

Read more »

a man in a business suite throws his arms open wide above his head and raises his face with his mouth open in celebration in front of a background of an illuminated board tracking stock market movements.
Materials Shares

Why is this ASX lithium stock jumping 7% on Friday?

This lithium developer made an announcement this morning. Here's what you need to know.

Read more »

CSR share price rising asx share price represented my man in hard hat giving thumbs up
Materials Shares

Why today is a very good day to own Fortescue shares

This mining giant's shares should be smiling on Friday. But why?

Read more »

Business women working from home with stock market chart showing per cent change on her laptop screen.
Materials Shares

Planning to buy Liontown shares? Here's your FY24 results preview

What do analysts expect the lithium miner to report?

Read more »