Is the Appen share price crash a buying opportunity?

Here's what one leading broker is saying about this tech company's shares following their fall from grace.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Appen Ltd (ASX: APX) share price had a day to forget on Monday.

The artificial intelligence (AI) data services company's shares crashed 32% to $1.52.

This left Appen trading at its lowest levels in over seven years.

A man with his back to the camera holds his hands to his head as he looks to a jagged red line trending sharply downward.

Image source: Getty Images

Why did the Appen share price crash deep into the red?

Investors were hitting the sell button following the release of yet another disappointing result from the struggling tech company.

In case you missed it, for the six months ended 30 June, Appen reported a 24% decline in revenue to US$138.9 million and an underlying net loss after tax of US$24.2 million. It also now expects its second-half revenue to be softer than previous guidance.

Is this a buying opportunity?

According to a note out of Bell Potter, its analysts don't believe investors should be rushing in to buy the company's shares.

In response to the result, the broker as retained its hold rating and slashed its price target by 23% to $1.70.

While this implies a potential upside of almost 12% for the Appen share price, Bell Potter doesn't seem to think that the risk/reward on offer is sufficient enough for investors to dive in.

Commenting on the result, the broker said:

Appen reported 1H2023 revenue of US$139.5m which was 3% below our forecast of US$144.5m. The miss was driven by lower Global Services revenue than we forecast (US$100.1m vs BPe US$105.7m) while New Markets revenue was in line. Underlying EBITDA was a loss of US$(18.1m) which was greater than our forecast loss of US$(16.5)m.

Looking ahead, the broker has downgraded its estimates for the coming years. It adds:

We have downgraded our 2023, 2024 and 2025 revenue forecasts by 10%, 6% and 5%. We now forecast 2H2023 revenue of US$142.9 which is modestly up on 1H2023 revenue of US$138.9m. We have increased the forecast underlying EBITDA loss in 2023 from US$23.2m to US$26.0m and downgraded our underlying EBITDA forecasts in 2024 and 2025 by 55% and 40%.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Appen. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Technology Shares

A smiling businessman in the city looks at his phone and punches the air in celebration of good news.
Technology Shares

Why two experts are urging investors to buy Pro Medicus shares

Let's see what they are saying about this beaten down market darling.

Read more »

A couple sits on a sofa, each clutching their heads in horror and disbelief, while looking at a laptop screen.
Technology Shares

Are investors running scared of WiseTech shares?

After a major pullback, WiseTech could be entering a more interesting phase.

Read more »

Concept image of a businessman riding a bull on an upwards arrow.
Technology Shares

Why are ASX 200 tech stocks like WiseTech and Life360 going gangbusters on Wednesday?

Investors are piling back into ASX 200 tech stocks today. But why?

Read more »

A man and a woman sitting in a technology-related work environment high five each other while the man wears headphones around his neck and the woman sits in front of a laptop.
Technology Shares

Tech rebound: Bell Potter says this ASX 300 stock is a top buy

The broker thinks now could be a good time to buy this beaten down tech stock.

Read more »

A man with a beard and wearing dark sunglasses and a beanie head covering raises a fist in happy celebration as he sits at is computer in a home environment.
Technology Shares

Is this smashed ASX tech stock gearing up for a hefty comeback?

If confidence returns, the tech share could be tripling in value.

Read more »

Woman with her fingers crossed and eyes shut.
Technology Shares

Xero, WiseTech shares jump higher today: Is this the beginning of a rebound?

It's been a bloodbath for ASX tech shares so far in 2026.

Read more »

Military engineer works on drone.
Technology Shares

EOS shares rebound after a surprise twist in its South Korean laser deal

New US defence wins help EOS shares recover after early drop.

Read more »

Buy now written on a red key with a shopping trolley on an Apple keyboard.
Technology Shares

3 ASX tech stocks that belong in every long-term portfolio

Brokers remain optimistic and see up to 130% upside.

Read more »