Qantas shares take off after FY23 earnings beat

Qantas has delivered a stronger than expected result for FY 2023.

| More on:
A smiling woman looks at her phone as she walks with her suitcase inside an airport.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Qantas Airways Limited (ASX: QAN) shares are ascending on Thursday morning.

At the time of writing, the airline operator's shares are up 3% to $6.37.

Why are Qantas shares rising?

Investors have been bidding the company's shares higher today after the market responded positively to its FY 2023 results.

For the 12 months ended 30 June, Qantas reported a 118% increase in revenue to $19,815 million and an underlying profit before tax of $2,465 million. The latter was up materially from a loss before tax of $1,859 million a year earlier.

This profit means that the Flying Kangaroo achieved the upper end of its updated guidance for FY 2023 of profit before tax of $2,425 million to $2,475 million.

But the good news doesn't stop there. With its net debt much lower than its target range, the company's board has decided to return $500 million to shareholders via an on-market share buyback. This follows the recent completion of a $1 billion buyback of Qantas shares.

Broker response

The team at Goldman Sachs was impressed with the strength of the company's results. The broker commented:

PBT of $2,465m was within the $2,425-2,475m guidance range and 1% ahead of GSe. Group Capacity was in line with GSe and unit revenues (RASK) was 2% higher. Net debt was $2.89bn, 4% above GSe and well below the $3.7-4.6bn target range (ND was $4.7bn pre-COVID).

Other positives that the broker highlights are that "demand indicators remain resilient" and its "cost guidance is generally better given transitory cost unwind."

In respect to the former, Goldman said:

Group domestic leisure revenue intakes are 119% above pre-COVID vs 118% in May23. Leisure intakes 132% above pre-COVID levels while business intakes are 107% of pre-COVID. n Group International revenue intake is at 124% of pre-COVID vs 123% in May.

We believe that booking curve is up to 1.5mths for domestic and 4-5mths for international and this is set against 1H24e group domestic capacity at 103% pre-COVID and Group International at 89% of pre-COVID.

Is it time to buy?

As things stand, Goldman currently has a conviction buy rating and $8.50 price target on the company's shares. This implies a potential upside of ~33% for Qantas shares from current levels.

However, it is worth remembering that the broker has yet to adjust its models to reflect this update, so this could change in the coming days.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Share Market News

5 things to watch on the ASX 200 on Friday

On Tuesday, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) went into the Christmas break with a small gain. The benchmark index rose 0.25%…

Read more »

Hand holding Australian dollar (AUD) bills, symbolising ex dividend day. Passive income.
Broker Notes

Invest $1,000 into Pilbara Minerals and these ASX 200 stocks

Analysts have named these shares as top picks for a $1,000 investment. Let's see why.

Read more »

Happy young couple saving money in piggy bank.
Opinions

Want to start investing in ASX shares? Here's what I'd buy

This is where I’d begin to put my money in the stock market.

Read more »

A female ASX investor looks through a magnifying glass that enlarges her eye and holds her hand to her face with her mouth open as if looking at something of great interest or surprise.
Broker Notes

3 of the best ASX 200 shares to buy in 2025

Let's see why analysts at Bell Potter are bullish on these shares next year.

Read more »

People of different ethnicities in a room taking a big selfie, symbolising diversification.
Opinions

Want diversification? Get it instantly with these ASX 200 shares

Some businesses offer a lot more diversification than others.

Read more »

A happy man and woman on a computer at Christmas, indicating a positive trend for retail shares.
Opinions

2 ASX 200 shares I'd want to receive as a present today

Merry Christmas! Are there any stocks under your tree?

Read more »

a young woman raises her hands in joyful celebration as she sits at her computer in a home environment.
Share Gainers

Why Avita Medical, GenusPlus, Mesoblast, and Polynovo shares are storming higher

These shares are having a better day than most today. But why?

Read more »

Three guys in shirts and ties give the thumbs down.
Share Fallers

Why Charter Hall Retail, DroneShield, FBR, and St Barbara shares are tumbling today

These shares are having a tough time on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »