3 reasons why I would consider buying IAG shares now

It's a stronger environment for insurers these days.

| More on:
A young investor working on his ASX shares portfolio on his laptop

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG) shares have had a good run, rising by 28% in 2023. For investors interested in the insurance giant, this could be a good time to consider the business as the company has a few positives going for it.  

It has been a very volatile time for the insurer over the past three years, as we can see on the chart below.

However, there are three big positives going for IAG shares at the moment that I'll point to.

Premium increases

One of the most useful things for an insurer is being able to charge more for the insurance offered to customers.

Inflation has enabled IAG and Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX: SUN) to increase their premiums. In FY23, the business is expecting to report that in FY23 its gross written premium (GWP) will grow by around 10%.

In a recent investor update given by the business, managing director and CEO Nick Hawkins said that its Australian second-half result could say "strong top-line growth, increased earned premiums, and improving claims trends".

Its New Zealand business is also seeing top-line growth and increased earned premiums.

This is the sort of business where it helps that Australia's population is rising because it means there are more cars and homes that need insuring.

If IAG maintains the same margins, then double-digit GWP growth will help increase the net profit in dollar terms, which can then help IAG shares.

Better margins are expected

IAG says the business is trending towards a reported insurance margin for the full 2023 financial year of around 10%.

The company recently increased its medium-term return on equity (ROE) target by one percentage point to a range of between 13% to 14%.

That improved ROE expectation is based on a medium-term insurance margin target of 15%. If it's able to achieve that target then it will be able to make stronger profits based on its GWP growth and profit margin growth.

It suggested the ROE target of 13% to 14% is "realistic and achievable over the medium term".

Stronger investment portfolio returns

A large part of the job of an insurer is to earn investment returns on the pool of premium money (until it's needed to pay a claim).

In the FY23 first-half result, the company said that higher yields will drive investment performance. Its $7.2 billion technical reserves were invested in fixed interest and cash, which can now earn much stronger yields thanks to higher interest rates.

In the first half of FY23, the technical reserve investment yield was 3.7%. IAG is expecting to report an 80 basis point improvement in the investment yield in the second half compared to the first half of FY23.

Stronger returns here are a real bonus for shareholders.

What's the IAG share price valuation?

According to Commsec, the IAG share price is valued at 16x FY24's estimated earnings. This isn't the cheapest price/earnings (P/E) ratio ever, but it reflects the stronger earnings environment for the ASX insurance share.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

two racing cars battle to take first place on a formula one track with one tailing the the leader and looking to overtake the car.
Opinions

Down 21% in 2024. This ASX 300 stock looks like a money-making monster

Profits are expected to plunge, but the future could still be bright.

Read more »

Big percentage sign with a person looking upwards at it.
Opinions

Why ASX investors should 'ditch the fixation' with interest rates

How important are interest rates?

Read more »

Emotional euphoric young woman giving high five to male partner, celebrating family achievement, getting bank loan approval, or financial or investing success.
Opinions

The smartest ASX dividend share to buy with $2,000 right now

I think this is a smart passive income choice today for several reasons.

Read more »

Three young people in business attire sit around a desk and discuss.
Opinions

Want to start investing? These 3 ETFs can be a great first step

The first step can be the most important, but it doesn't need to the hardest.

Read more »

A young boy in a business suit lifts his glasses above his eyes and gives a big wide mouthed smile to the camera with a stock market board in the background.
Opinions

Is the ASX now entering the 'best period for sharemarket returns'?

The ASX share market could be a great place to be invested.

Read more »

A man in business pants, a shirt and a tie lies in the shallows of a beautiful beach as he consults his laptop on the shore, just out of the water's reach.
Opinions

1 ASX stock I bought for my superannuation fund and another I'm planning to buy

I believe in these ASX shares for the long-term.

Read more »

A smiling man take a big bite out of a burrito
Opinions

3 reasons the Guzman y Gomez (GYG) share price could still be a buy

Here’s why I think spicy growth could continue.

Read more »

A business person holds a big balloon in front of their face.
How to invest

I'm fine with a stock market crash. You might be too

This article might leave you longing for a ride to the downside.

Read more »