An unloved ASX stock I'm considering buying with $5,000 in August

This software maker has been punished by the market over the past couple of years, but it's now gone too far.

| More on:
an attractive young woman with sad eyes holds a red paper love heart over her mouth as though she has been unlucky in love.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Frustration can't begin to describe what it's like to own certain ASX stocks.

The business is excellent — winning new customers, expanding market share — but the stock price just languishes, or even plunges.

Even with a long-term horizon, your faith is tested.

That's especially been the case with small-cap stocks in recent times. 

The economic turbulence from inflation, rising interest rates, and a war in Europe has triggered investors to pull their money out of riskier stock and into larger cap businesses with more stable earnings.

One stock that exemplifies this experience is Alcidion Group Ltd (ASX: ALC).

The hospital software provider has seen its share price plummet more than 72% since June 2021.

But one could now argue that's enough punishment.

'Disconnect' between company performance and share price

The fact is that the Alcidion business has not done much wrong over that time.

Cyan Investment Management has been a backer of the small cap for a while now, and has been bemused by the way it's been treated by the market.

"Their revenues, earnings and client bases have expanded over the past two years and yet their [stock price has] declined by more than 50%," portfolio manager Dean Fergie said back in March.

"Whilst it could be argued prices did get ahead of themselves during 2020/21, the disconnect between underlying company performance and share price movement cannot continue indefinitely."

Fergie is not alone in recognising the deep value for Alcidion shares.

According to CMC Markets, Bell Potter, Canaccord, and RBC Capital Markets all agree with him, rating Alcidion shares as a strong buy.

Already the valuation for the software maker seems to have turned around, gaining more than 33% since 27 June.

This is why I will consider buying $5,000 worth of Alcidion shares this month.

Late last month, the company's quarterly update was received warmly by the market, with the stock surging 9% higher that morning.

"The record achievement in cash receipts in the fourth quarter builds upon Alicidion's all-time performance last year," reported The Motley Fool's Mitchell Lawler.

"At that time, the company pulled in $14 million to mark a new high for the financial measure."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Alcidion Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Alcidion Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

Boys making faces and flexing.
Opinions

3 ASX 300 shares to buy and hold for the long run

I believe these stocks have loads of growth potential.

Read more »

two racing cars battle to take first place on a formula one track with one tailing the the leader and looking to overtake the car.
Opinions

Down 21% in 2024. This ASX 300 stock looks like a money-making monster

Profits are expected to plunge, but the future could still be bright.

Read more »

Big percentage sign with a person looking upwards at it.
Opinions

Why ASX investors should 'ditch the fixation' with interest rates

How important are interest rates?

Read more »

Emotional euphoric young woman giving high five to male partner, celebrating family achievement, getting bank loan approval, or financial or investing success.
Opinions

The smartest ASX dividend share to buy with $2,000 right now

I think this is a smart passive income choice today for several reasons.

Read more »

Three young people in business attire sit around a desk and discuss.
Opinions

Want to start investing? These 3 ETFs can be a great first step

The first step can be the most important, but it doesn't need to the hardest.

Read more »

A young boy in a business suit lifts his glasses above his eyes and gives a big wide mouthed smile to the camera with a stock market board in the background.
Opinions

Is the ASX now entering the 'best period for sharemarket returns'?

The ASX share market could be a great place to be invested.

Read more »

A man in business pants, a shirt and a tie lies in the shallows of a beautiful beach as he consults his laptop on the shore, just out of the water's reach.
Opinions

1 ASX stock I bought for my superannuation fund and another I'm planning to buy

I believe in these ASX shares for the long-term.

Read more »

A smiling man take a big bite out of a burrito
Opinions

3 reasons the Guzman y Gomez (GYG) share price could still be a buy

Here’s why I think spicy growth could continue.

Read more »