Qantas share price flying higher amid news super profits appear protected

The airline's expected FY23 record profit before tax looks set to continue.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX: QAN) share price is flying higher today.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) airline stock closed yesterday trading for $6.37 each. At the time of writing, Qantas shares are changing hands for $6.465 apiece, up 1.49%.

This rise comes amid news the super profits Qantas is forecasting for the full 2023 financial year may well continue into 2024 and beyond.

a man wearing an old-fashioned aviation leather head covering and goggles and with a cardboard plane shape around his waist runs along the ground against a barren, desert background.

Image source: Getty Images

What's the outlook for the ASX 200 airline's super profits?

A bit less than two months ago, on 23 May, Qantas reported that it expects to deliver a record-high underlying profit before tax of $2.4 billion to $2.5 billion for FY23.

Those super profits, which look to have been helping the Qantas share price outperform the benchmark, come in large part due to rocketing travel demand and elevated airfares.

In May, Qantas was confident its airfares would remain high for years, with demand for air travel outpacing the post-pandemic rebound in supply.

"I've never seen such favourable international conditions," Qantas head of international and domestic Andrew David said at the ASX 200 airline's investor day conference on 30 May.

"We can say that demand will outstrip supply for the immediate future and through to the end of the decade," David added.

But in early June, the Motley Fool reported the airline's super profits could be at risk of eroding, potentially dragging on the Qantas share price.

That came after Qatar Airways petitioned federal transport minister Catherine King to double the volume of international flights allowed on the lucrative Sydney, Melbourne, and Brisbane routes.

Had that request been granted, it would likely have seen ticket prices come down along with the outlook for Qantas' super profits.

But in good news for Qantas shareholders – and not so good news for travellers seeking lower ticket prices – that request has been denied.

"The Australian government is not considering additional bilateral air rights with Qatar," King said (quoted by The Australian Financial Review).

Qantas share price snapshot

The Qantas share price has outpaced the ASX 200 over the past 12 months, gaining 44%. The ASX 200 is up 10% over that same period.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Travel Shares

Falling plane share price represented by a declining line with a model plane at the end.
Travel Shares

Is the Qantas share price a buy? Here's an expert's view

Is this a good time to invest in the airline?

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane looking through a window and working on a laptop.
Travel Shares

Webjet and Web Travel Group: Are these ASX travel shares a buy?

It's a sector under pressure, but these ASX travel shares may still offer opportunity.

Read more »

Couple at an airport waiting for their flight.
Travel Shares

The pros and cons of buying Qantas shares this month

Should investors buy the airline during this volatility?

Read more »

Man sitting in a plane seat works on his laptop.
Travel Shares

Why a $700 million move into Qantas shares is turning heads today

AustralianSuper builds a major stake in Qantas.

Read more »

A smiling boy holds a toy plane aloft while a girl watches on from a car near an airport runway.
Travel Shares

This ASX travel stock is rising after a major capital management milestone

Flight Centre rises after completing buyback and cleaning up debt.

Read more »

A woman's hair is blown back and her face is in shock at this big news.
Travel Shares

Are Virgin Australia shares a buy after flying 7% higher on Wednesday?

Find out how far analysts are tipping the airline's shares to run.

Read more »

A woman reaches her arms to the sky as a plane flies overhead at sunset.
Travel Shares

Here's why Virgin Australia shares are flying 7% higher today

The airline has maintained its FY26 outlook, with fuel hedging offsetting higher fuel prices.

Read more »

A woman looks nervous and uncertain holding a hand to her chin while looking at a paper cut out of a plane that she's holding in her other hand.
Travel Shares

Are Qantas shares still a buy after its latest market update?

Here's why Qantas shares are the talk of the town this week.

Read more »