This ASX 200 stock's crashed 48% in 8 months. Time to buy now?

No guts, no glory. Are you game enough to add this potential bargain to your portfolio?

| More on:
A farmer uses a digital device in a green field.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Do you have the guts to buy a stock that's been unambiguously punished by other investors?

After all, buying low is the best way to achieve returns, as long as the underlying business is of sufficient quality.

One current contender is Elders Ltd (ASX: ELD), which has nosedived a frightening 48.4% since November.

The business is a supplier to agriculture clients of such products and services like fertiliser, feed, livestock sales and real estate broking.

Shaw and Partners portfolio manager James Gerrish was asked whether buying this stock now would be wise, or if you would be catching a falling knife.

'Many investors have capitulated'

According to Gerrish, his team has been keeping an eye on Elders during its recent descent.

"[It's] a stock that we have mentioned once or twice recently as a turnaround story, having been very critical of the [company's] messaging and subsequent performance in 2022," he said in a Market Matters Q&A.

Investors should remain wary of discounted stocks that could be the subject of "corporate activity", such as a capital raise, a sell-off or an acquisition.

"That may or may not be the case with Elders, however it's something worth keeping in one's mind!"

But overall, after the bloodbath in recent months, Gerrish reckons the Elders share price may have hit the bottom.

"At this juncture, we think many investors have capitulated, and the next 20% to 30% is more likely on the upside," he said.

"We think it finally looks good here and is set for a better FY24."

Just last week, another investment house also expressed its bullishness for Elders.

"A note out of Bell Potter reveals that its analysts have upgraded this agribusiness company's shares to a buy rating with a $7.25 price target," reported The Motley Fool's James Mickleboro.

"The broker made the move on valuation grounds, highlighting that its shares are trading at ~6 times normalised EBITDA, which is a reasonably large discount to its post-recapitalisation average."

He added Bell Potter analysts see the Elders share price as "representing value through the cycle". 

According to CMC Markets, four analysts currently rate it as a buy while six are recommending a hold.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Elders. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why Megaport, Pilbara Minerals, Vysarn, and WiseTech shares are falling today

These shares are ending the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with his eyes closed and a pained expression on his face as he clasps a laptop computer in front of him, seemingly learning of bad news or a poor investment.
Share Fallers

Why Accent, Sayona Mining, Web Travel, and Weebit Nano shares are dropping today

These shares are having a tough time on Thursday. Why are they being sold off?

Read more »

A smartly-dressed man screams to the sky in a trendy office.
Share Fallers

Why Appen, DroneShield, PWR, and Webjet shares are sinking today

These shares are having a tough time on hump day. But why?

Read more »

a car driver sits up and looks alert with wide eyes and an expression of concentration while he holds the wheel of a car.
Share Fallers

Why this ASX All Ordinaries stock just crashed 24%!

Investors are punishing the ASX All Ords company today. Let’s find out why.

Read more »

A male investor wearing a blue shirt looks off to the side with a miffed look on his face as the share price declines.
Share Fallers

Why Elders, KMD, Lovisa, and Telix shares are dropping today

These shares are missing out on the good times on Tuesday. But why?

Read more »

A woman with short brown hair and wearing a yellow top looks at the camera with a puzzled and shocked look on her face as the Westpac share price goes down for no reason today
Share Fallers

Why Life360, Lovisa, NAB, and Resolute shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Healthcare Shares

This ASX All Ords share is diving 18% as inflation pain draws blood

This healthcare company delivered a trading update at its annual general meeting today.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face looks to be receiving bad news on her phone as she holds it in her hands and looks down at it.
Share Fallers

Why Healius, Opthea, Peninsula Energy, and Wildcat shares are falling today

These shares are having a tough finish to the week. But why?

Read more »