This ASX 200 stock's crashed 48% in 8 months. Time to buy now?

No guts, no glory. Are you game enough to add this potential bargain to your portfolio?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Do you have the guts to buy a stock that's been unambiguously punished by other investors?

After all, buying low is the best way to achieve returns, as long as the underlying business is of sufficient quality.

One current contender is Elders Ltd (ASX: ELD), which has nosedived a frightening 48.4% since November.

The business is a supplier to agriculture clients of such products and services like fertiliser, feed, livestock sales and real estate broking.

Shaw and Partners portfolio manager James Gerrish was asked whether buying this stock now would be wise, or if you would be catching a falling knife.

A farmer uses a digital device in a green field.

Image source: Getty Images

'Many investors have capitulated'

According to Gerrish, his team has been keeping an eye on Elders during its recent descent.

"[It's] a stock that we have mentioned once or twice recently as a turnaround story, having been very critical of the [company's] messaging and subsequent performance in 2022," he said in a Market Matters Q&A.

Investors should remain wary of discounted stocks that could be the subject of "corporate activity", such as a capital raise, a sell-off or an acquisition.

"That may or may not be the case with Elders, however it's something worth keeping in one's mind!"

But overall, after the bloodbath in recent months, Gerrish reckons the Elders share price may have hit the bottom.

"At this juncture, we think many investors have capitulated, and the next 20% to 30% is more likely on the upside," he said.

"We think it finally looks good here and is set for a better FY24."

Just last week, another investment house also expressed its bullishness for Elders.

"A note out of Bell Potter reveals that its analysts have upgraded this agribusiness company's shares to a buy rating with a $7.25 price target," reported The Motley Fool's James Mickleboro.

"The broker made the move on valuation grounds, highlighting that its shares are trading at ~6 times normalised EBITDA, which is a reasonably large discount to its post-recapitalisation average."

He added Bell Potter analysts see the Elders share price as "representing value through the cycle". 

According to CMC Markets, four analysts currently rate it as a buy while six are recommending a hold.

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Elders. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Fallers

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop in front of him.
Share Fallers

Why Clarity, Qantas, Universal Store, and Westpac shares are falling today

Let's see why these shares are missing out on the market's move higher today.

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why A2 Milk, Metallium, Northern Star, and St Barbara shares are sinking today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

A young couple stands next to a real estate agent in an empty apartment they are inspecting.
Real Estate Shares

Mirvac shares sink to their lowest level since 2015. Is this ASX property giant back on the radar?

Multi-year lows put Mirvac shares back on investors’ watchlists today.

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Orora, Select Harvests, Tamboran, and WiseTech shares are sinking today

These shares are under pressure on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »

A boy with sad eyes pulls the zip over his mouth and nose while doing up a large jacket where the collar stands up at head height.
BNPL shares

Zip shares plunge again after yesterday's 19% surge. Here's what changed

Zip shares tumble as ceasefire hopes fade and volatility returns.

Read more »

a group of business people sit dejectedly around a table, each expressing desolation, sadness and disappointment by holding their head in their hands, casting their gazes down and looking very glum.
Share Fallers

DroneShield shares tumble 17% as CEO exit revives leadership fears

Investors bank gains as DroneShield leadership reset unsettles sentiment...

Read more »

A young man clasps his hand to his head with a pained expression on his face and a laptop in front of him.
Share Fallers

Why Challenger, Lotus Resources, Mesoblast, and Wildcat shares are falling today

These shares are starting the week in the red. But why?

Read more »

Frustrated stock trader screaming while looking at mobile phone, symbolising a falling share price.
Share Fallers

Why KMD, Tamboran Resources, Whitehaven Coal, and WiseTech Global shares are falling today

These shares are out of form on Thursday. What's going on?

Read more »