The Woolworths share price surged 11% in FY23. What's next?

Can Woolworths shares be market-beaters again in FY 2024?

| More on:
Woolworth share price upgrade response to asx share price represented by hands holding up the word wow

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price was a market-beater in the last financial year.

During the 12 months, the retail giant's shares rose a sizeable 11%.

This compares favourably to a 9.7% gain by the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO).

Will the Woolworths share price be able to beat the market again in the new financial year? Let's find out.

Can the Woolworths share price be a market-beater in FY24?

The good news is that some analysts still believe the company's shares can rise further despite their heroics in FY23.

For example, according to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have a buy rating and a $42.80 price target on its shares.

Based on the current Woolworths share price of $39.71, this implies a potential return of 7.8% for investors over the next 12 months.

Whether that will be enough to beat the market again, is impossible to say. However, it is less than the average total return that ASX shares have generated over the last 30 years. So, it will have a fight on its hands.

Though, it is worth noting that Woolworths is a reliable dividend payer and appears well-placed to increase its dividend again in FY 2024. In fact, Goldman is expecting an increase from an estimated $1.06 per share in FY 2023 to $1.15 per share in FY 2024. The latter equates to a fully franked 2.9% dividend yield.

Including its next two dividend payments, this would boost the total potential return to approximately 9.5%.

All in all, while the Woolworths share price certainly has room to climb from current levels, whether or not it beats the market may depend largely on whether the ASX 200 index underperforms historic averages.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

Woman smiles at camera at she buys greens from the supermarket.
Retail Shares

Could the Woolworths share price smash the market in 2025?

Let's see if things will be better for this supermarket giant's shares next year.

Read more »

Photo of two women shopping.
Retail Shares

Overinvested in Woolworths shares? Here are two alternative ASX retail stocks

Woolworths shares have disappointed this year. I think there could be better retail stocks to buy right now.

Read more »

High fashion look. glamor closeup portrait of beautiful sexy stylish Caucasian young woman model with bright makeup, with red lips, with perfect clean skin.
Retail Shares

Why now could be a great time to buy this high-performing ASX retail stock

This ASX share could be a sparkling opportunity.

Read more »

Young couple at the counter of a hardware store.
Retail Shares

3 encouraging signs for Wesfarmers shares heading into 2025

There are reasons to be positive about Wesfarmers.

Read more »

A young woman wearing a silver bracelet raises her sunglasses in amazement, indicating positive share price movement in jewellery shares.
Retail Shares

This ASX 200 stock is down 22% from its highs, and the CEO is stocking up

Is this a shiny buying opportunity?

Read more »

A warehouse worker is standing next to a shelf and using a digital tablet.
Retail Shares

Is the Wesfarmers share price facing 'significant downside risk'?

2025 could prove trickier for Wesfarmers shares, this leading expert forecasts.

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Dividend Investing

Invested $5,000 in Wesfarmers shares in 2021? Guess how much passive income you've earned

Passive income offers a big boost to the performance of Wesfarmers shares.

Read more »

Woman checking out new iPads.
Retail Shares

Better ASX retail buy: Harvey Norman or JB Hi-Fi shares?

ASX retail showdown.

Read more »