Down 11% in a month is the Core Lithium share price now a bargain?

Core Lithium shares remain among the most heavily shorted on the ASX. Do the short sellers have this one wrong?

| More on:
two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) share price closed down 3.8% yesterday.

Shares in the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) lithium stock finished the day trading for $1.01 apiece.

That puts Core Lithium shares down 11% over the past month.

After that sizeable decline, is the ASX lithium miner trading for a bargain?

Is the Core Lithium share price in bargain territory?

While I remain longer-term bullish on Core Lithium, not everyone agrees.

The ASX lithium share has the ignominious honour of being the second most shorted stock this week, with a short interest of 9.5%, according to ASIC.

And the company has a fair number of brokers that believe it has a way to fall yet before entering bargain territory.

Goldman Sachs, for example, has a sell rating on the stock with a target of 80 cents for the Core Lithium share price. Citi also has a sell rating and an even lower 75 cents price target.

Morgans is less bearish, with a hold rating and a $1.05 price target.

Remember, the Core Lithium share price closed at $1.01 per share yesterday.

Macquarie counts among the minority of brokers expecting the Core Lithium share price to lift off from here. Macquarie has an outperform rating on the stock with a $1.30 price target. That represents an upside of some 29% from yesterday's close.

What are ASX 200 investors considering?

The lithium space is attracting a lot of big-name, and deep-pocketed, investors.

Billionaire Gina Rinehart is among the more recent entrants with her company, Hancock Prospecting, nearing a deal to acquire a lithium mine in Western Australia.

On a national level, Chile and the European Union plan to collaborate to develop value-added lithium projects in the South American nation.

These factors are contributing to some ASX 200 investors' concerns that the Core Lithium share price may be overvalued if lithium prices retrace.

But on the bullish front, the Chinese government appears poised to open up the stimulus taps. Last week the People's Bank of China (PBoC) lowered rates on short-term funding. And more directed stimulus is broadly anticipated.

That could help spur EV sales and battery production in the Middle Kingdom, supporting lithium prices and Core Lithium shares.

And don't forget that Core Lithium's Finniss Lithium Project – located close to Port Darwin in the Northern Territory – is set to ramp up towards full production next year.

Finniss achieved its first spodumene concentrate production in February. Once complete, the project is forecast to produce an average of 160,000 tonnes of battery-grade lithium concentrate per year.

With the company holding $98 million in cash as of 31 March, I believe the longer-term direction of the Core Lithium share price will be higher.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

How much could $5,000 invested in BHP shares be worth in a year?

Here's what one leading broker believes could happen with this miner's shares next year.

Read more »

A woman jumps for joy with a rocket drawn on the wall behind her.
Materials Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX lithium stock could rocket 90%+ in 2025

Let's see why the broker is bullish on this lithium developer.

Read more »

A female employee in a hard hat and overalls with high visibility stripes sits at the wheel of a large mining vehicle with mining equipment in the background.
Materials Shares

Forget Fortescue shares and buy this ASX iron ore stock

Bell Potter thinks this iron ore miner could deliver big returns over the next 12 months.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Are ASX lithium shares prime real estate for value hunters?

Can these stocks recharge returns for investors?

Read more »

Image of young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Are Rio Tinto shares a buy for its lithium plans?

Let's see what one leading broker is saying about the mining giant.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX 300 lithium stock is rocketing 20% on huge Volkswagen news

Not all shares are being dragged lower by the market today.

Read more »

Dollar sign in yellow with a red falling arrow in front of a graph, symbolising a falling share price.
Materials Shares

Ouch: The Pilbara Minerals share price just hit a multi-year low

It's been a tough day for lithium investors.

Read more »

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.
Materials Shares

Big ASX news: CEO buys 2.5 million Sayona Mining shares

This CEO has finally made a big share purchase.

Read more »