Why is the Lake Resources share price crashing 19% on Monday?

Things are going very badly for this heavily shorted lithium developer.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Lake Resources shares are being hammered on Monday
  • This follows a disappointing production update from the lithium developer
  • Investors will now have to wait longer for less production and at a much higher cost

The Lake Resources N.L. (ASX: LKE) share price has started the week with a huge decline.

In morning trade, the lithium developer's shares are down 19% to a 52-week low of 38.5 cents.

A man stands in front of a chart with an arrow going down and slaps his forehead in frustration.

Image source: Getty Images

Why is the Lake Resources share price crashing?

Investors have been selling Lake Resources shares today after the heavily shorted company released a bitterly disappointing operational update for its Kachi brine project in Argentina.

According to the release, the company has developed a clear path to battery grade lithium carbonate production in 2027, which is much later than expected.

Phase one is targeting 25,000tpa battery grade lithium carbonate, structured as two 12,500tpa trains. After which, a phased expansion to 50,000tpa by 2030 is being targeted.

The company previously had "Target 100", which was targeting 100,000tpa of production by 2030 from its projects in the Lithium Triangle. It was also expecting 50,000tpa in production by 2024.

Now, investors will have to wait an extra three years for 25,000tpa.

High costs

While the costs have not been finalised, it is looking likely to be a very expensive operation. Management estimates that phase one has a capital cost of US$1.1 billion to US$1.5 billion with a run rate operating cost of US$4.70 to US$7.10 per kg.

The company's pre-feasibility study result for 25,500tpa had capex of US$544 million and lower costs per kg. It also had a higher post-tax net present value (NPV) than the low-to-mid range of its new pre-tax NPV.

All in all, it isn't a surprise to see the Lake Resources share price crash on the news.

'De-risks project execution'

Lake Resources' CEO, David Dickson, remains positive. He said:

The plans announced today to the ASX show a clear path to battery grade lithium carbonate production in 2027 and phased expansion to a target of 50ktpa by 2030. Our new, phased approach de-risks project execution while ensuring battery grade lithium carbonate comes to market in a cleaner, efficient way.

We have validated the major commercial process systems for the Kachi Project and the ability to produce high-quality, battery-grade lithium carbonate from Lake's brine resource using Lilac DLE technology.

A definitive feasibility study (DFS) for phase one is targeting completion later this year in December 2023. Whereas the DFS for phase two, for another 25,000tpa battery grade lithium carbonate, is targeting completion by the fourth quarter of 2026.

Dickson also revealed that its project stakeholders are supportive of the plan. He adds:

We have consulted with our project stakeholders including our debt providers and offtake partners, and they are supportive of the phased plan.

Finally, the company revealed that independent testing of lithium carbonate produced from the Kachi Project in Argentina has confirmed grades and purity greater than 99.8%.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A happy youngster holds a giant bag of carrots at a supermarket fruit and vegie section, indicating savings made by buying in bulk.
Materials Shares

Why Nufarm shares just exploded higher on Wednesday

Lower debt and better margins spark a big rebound in Nufarm shares.

Read more »

Three business people running a race against each other
Materials Shares

Why is this temperamental ASX stock surging 11% today?

Is this a real recovery or just another short-lived bounce?

Read more »

Business people standing at a mine site smiling.
Materials Shares

This ASX materials stock could rise 20% according to this broker

Fresh tailwinds could push this mining equipment company higher.

Read more »

A woman presenting company news to investors looks back at the camera and smiles.
Materials Shares

What's this broker's updated view on this ASX materials stock following a 25% fall?

This ASX materials stock was heavily sold off last week.

Read more »

A smiling woman holds a Facebook like sign above her head.
Materials Shares

Why this ASX mining stock could be a strong buy after major milestone

Bell Potter is recommending this stock to clients.

Read more »

A hand holding a lump of rare earths material against a blue sky.
Materials Shares

This ASX critical minerals company could more than double in value: Broker

An important US government milestone was achieved this week.

Read more »

A group of people gathered around a laptop computer with various expressions of interest, concern and surprise on their faces as they review the payouts from ASX dividend stocks. All are wearing glasses.
Resources Shares

Buy, hold, or sell? South32, Capstone Copper, and BHP shares

Let's see what the experts think.

Read more »

A man wearing a suit holds his arms aloft, attached to a large lithium battery with green charging symbols on it.
Materials Shares

PLS shares jump 320% in 12 months: Buy, sell or hold?

The lithium miner has flown from strength to strength over the past year.

Read more »