Why the Woolworths share price could rise a further 11% this year

Woolworths shares are smashing the market this year and the run may not be over.

| More on:
A man sees some good news on his phone and gives a little cheer.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW) share price is smashing the market in 2023.

Since the start of the year, the retail giant's shares are up 15% to $38.60.

This compares favourably to the performance of the ASX 200 index, which is up a modest 3% year to date.

Can the Woolworths share price keep rising?

The good news is that one leading broker believes the Woolworths share price still has room to climb from current levels.

According to a recent note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts have the company on the broker's coveted conviction list with a buy rating and $42.80 price target. This implies potential upside of 11% for investors over the next 12 months.

In addition, the broker is forecasting fully franked dividend yields of approximately 3% this year and next.

Why is Goldman so bullish?

Goldman believes that Woolworths is well-positioned to grow its market share further. This is thanks to its omni-channel advantage and very strong loyalty program. It explains:

WOW is the largest supermarket chain in Australia with an additional presence in NZ, as well as selling general merchandise retail via Big W. We are Buy rated (on Conviction List) on the stock as we believe the business has among the highest consumer stickiness and loyalty among peers, and hence has strong ability to drive market share gains via its omni-channel advantage, as well as pass through any cost inflation to protect its margins, beyond market expectations.

In light of this, the broker feels that the Woolworths share price is trading at a great entry level for investors. It said:

The stock is trading below its historical average (since 2018), and we see this as a value entry level for a high-quality and defensive stock. Catalysts include 1H23 results with better-than-expected mix improvement to drive positive price and margins and a consistent demonstration of market share gains in FY23/24 that could lead to re-rating of the business vs COL/MTS.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

A2 Milk shares rocket 18% on guidance upgrade and big dividend news

The infant formula company is finally going to start paying dividends to shareholders.

Read more »

A man in a suit face palms at the downturn happening with shares today.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why is this ASX 300 stock crashing 15% today?

Let's see how this popular stock is performing so far in FY 2025.

Read more »

Happy couple laughing while shopping in supermarket
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Coles shares: Broker says the 'risk-reward is attractive'

Ord Minnett has good things to say about the supermarket giant following its quarterly update.

Read more »

A man looks a little perplexed as he holds his hand to his head as if thinking about something as he stands in the aisle of a supermarket.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Down 20% this year, can Woolworths shares catch a break?

The headlines continue this week.

Read more »

A man looks sadly away from his computer screen as he holds a slice of pizza in his hand with an open pizza box in front of him on his desk.
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

3 reasons this expert is selling Domino's shares now

Down 48% in 2024, why this investing expert recommends selling Domino’s shares.

Read more »

a car driver sits up and looks alert with wide eyes and an expression of concentration while he holds the wheel of a car.
Share Fallers

Why this ASX All Ordinaries stock just crashed 24%!

Investors are punishing the ASX All Ords company today. Let’s find out why.

Read more »

woman holding man's hand as he falls representing ups and downs of ASX investing
Consumer Staples & Discretionary Shares

Why did this ASX 200 stock just crash 11%?

Investors appear nervous about a $475 million acquisition.

Read more »

Man pointing at a blue rising share price graph.
Earnings Results

Guess which ASX All Ords share is soaring on 21% FY 2024 growth

Investors are piling into the ASX All Ords share today. Let’s find out why.

Read more »