What's the forecast for the Core Lithium share price in June?

Higher or lower? Where is this lithium share heading in June.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The month of May was kind to the Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO) share price.

As we covered here, the lithium miner's shares rose a sizeable 7% during the month.

This compares very favourably to the 3% decline by the ASX 200 index over the same period.

A female ASX investor looks through a magnifying glass that enlarges her eye and holds her hand to her face with her mouth open as if looking at something of great interest or surprise.

Image source: Getty Images

Can the Core Lithium share price build on this in June?

Unfortunately, most brokers agree that Core Lithium's shares are overvalued at current levels.

For example, Citi has a sell rating and 75 cents price target, Goldman Sachs has a sell rating and 80 cents price target, and Morgans has a hold rating and $1.05 price target.

This bearishness is largely due to the company's shares trading at a price to net asset value (NAV) that is significantly higher than peers.

Citi highlights that "CXO trades on ~1.3x P/NAV vs peers on ~0.8-0.9x P/NAV."

Goldman Sachs believes this indicates that investors are "pricing in ~US$1,600/t spodumene (peer average ~US$1,100/t)" over the long-term.

Of course, if you believe lithium prices are going to average that over the long-term, then you're probably picking up shares at a fair price now.

However, if you are that bullish and confident in lithium prices, then you perhaps should be looking at other lithium miners instead. After all, their current valuations suggest they are trading at a deep discount if long-term spodumene prices averaged US$1,600 per tonne.

There is a bull

It's not all doom and gloom, though. It is worth highlighting that analysts at Macquarie don't agree with the rest of the broker community and continue to see value in the Core Lithium share price.

A recent note reveals that the broker has an outperform rating and $1.30 price target on its shares. This implies potential upside of 20% for investors from current levels.

Time will tell which brokers make the right call.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A bearded man holds both arms up diagonally and points with his index fingers to the sky with a thrilled look on his face.
Materials Shares

Which ASX mining stock could rise 120% according to a leading broker?

Bell Potter thinks this mining stock could be seriously undervalued.

Read more »

Male building supervisor stands and smiles with his arms crossed at a building site with workers behind him.
Materials Shares

Down 25%! Is this resurgent ASX 200 stock a strong buy?

Analysts at Morgans see more than 60% upside ahead.

Read more »

A man wearing a suit holds his arms aloft, attached to a large lithium battery with green charging symbols on it.
Materials Shares

Should I buy PLS Group shares in April?

Can the ASX lithium share continue charging higher?

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Materials Shares

Why is this ASX rare earths share sinking 13% today?

What's going on with this share today? Let's dig deeper into things.

Read more »

A construction worker leaps high in the air on a building site.
Materials Shares

Why are James Hardie shares storming higher today?

After a steep sell-off, investors may start to see strength and long-term potential.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Which ASX rare earths company's shares are trading higher on new funding news?

Two major government finance agencies have signed on.

Read more »

A man sitting at his dining table looks at his laptop and ponders the share price.
Materials Shares

ASX lithium shares 'compelling' as top broker adjusts ratings

UBS predicts the global oil shock caused by the war in Iran will drive higher demand for electric vehicles.

Read more »

Three workers jump in the air at a steel factory.
Materials Shares

This ASX steel stock is unlocking hidden value. So why is it falling today?

BlueScope shares fall after an update on surplus land developments.

Read more »