Goldman Sachs tips massive returns from South32 shares

Analysts at Goldman Sachs see major upside potential and big dividend yields from this mining share.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If you're looking for exposure to the mining sector, then South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) shares could be worth considering.

That's because one leading broker has just reiterated its buy rating on the mining giant's shares and is tipping big returns over the next 12 months.

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistful of Australian dollar notes.

Image source: Getty Images

Who is bullish on South32 shares?

The broker is question is Goldman Sachs. This morning, its analysts have reiterated their buy rating and $4.80 price target on the miner's shares.

Based on the current South32 share price of $3.86, this implies potential upside of 24% for investors over the next 12 months.

Another positive is that Goldman is expecting some big and growing dividend yields in the coming years. It has pencilled in fully franked dividends per share of 11.6 US cents in FY 2023, 27.7 US cents in FY 2024, and then 28.1 US cents in FY 2025.

Based on where South32 shares currently trade and the latest exchange rates, this will mean yields of 4.6%, 10.9%, and 11.1%, respectively.

What did the broker say?

Today's note centres on the company's Hermosa underground Zn/Pb/Ag/Mn project in Arizona, United States. Goldman has just visited the site and appears to be pleased with what it heard. It commented:

We now value Hermosa at US$1.85bn (up from US$1.7bn; now 11% of our S32 NAV, after lifting head grades in Yrs 1-5). […] On the longer-term strategy of S32, discussions with senior management on site indicate a clear focus on growing base metals exposure in the Americas over the long run and likely exiting African exposure at some point when the time is right.

Outside this, the broker is bullish on South32 shares for four key reasons. This includes its attractive valuation and dividend yield. It said:

We rate S32.AX a Buy based on: (1) Attractive valuation, (2) Improving FCF outlook on higher production & commodity prices (base metals and met coal), (3) Supportive share buyback and dividend yield, (4) Upside potential from base metal growth projects.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Stock market crash concept of young man screaming at laptop on the sofa.
Materials Shares

Why the IperionX share price just crashed 22% today

Investors dump IperionX shares after its recent results spark heavy selling.

Read more »

A miner shakes hands with a businessman or banker inside an underground mine setting.
Materials Shares

Rare earth stocks are tumbling today. Here's why the Lynas share price is holding up

Lynas has already been one of the best-performing resources stocks on the ASX over the past year.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Materials Shares

Are Rio Tinto or BHP shares a better buy right now?

Should investors buy the dip or wait it out?

Read more »

A man sitting at his desktop computer leans forward onto his elbows and yawns while he rubs his eyes as though he is very tired.
Earnings Results

Liontown shares drop on $184m half-year loss

Let's see what this lithium miner reported today.

Read more »

Female South32 miner smiling with mining machinery in the background.
Materials Shares

Up 192%, where to from here for Lynas shares?

Lynas has found itself in a strategic sweet spot, but can it keep the rally going?

Read more »

A woman smiles as she checks her phone in one hand with a takeaway coffee in the other as she charges her electric vehicle at a charging station.
Materials Shares

Why I'd buy and hold PLS shares for 10 years

I think the global shift toward electrification could create strong long-term demand for lithium.

Read more »

A businessman holding a briefcase jumps into the sky celebrating the rising share price.
Materials Shares

Why the Lynas share price is roaring 14% today

Lynas shares soar after locking in a rare earths supply deal.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Materials Shares

This ASX rare earths stock is rocketing 13% on big news

Big news is getting investors excited on Wednesday. Here's what is happening.

Read more »