Goldman Sachs says Rio Tinto shares are a strong buy with huge upside and a big dividend yield

Rio Tinto's long-term copper outlook is looking positive.

| More on:
Miner looking at his notes.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) shares are on course to end the week on a positive note.

In late trade, the mining giant's shares are up over 2% to $109.86.

Can Rio Tinto shares keep rising?

The good news is that analysts at Goldman Sachs believe the miner's shares can keep rising from here.

According to a note, the broker has retained its conviction buy rating and $136.10 price target on the miner's shares.

Based on the current Rio Tinto share price, this implies potential upside of 24% for investors. In addition, the broker expects Rio Tinto shares to provide dividend yields of 7.6% in FY 2023 and 6.5% in FY 2024.

What did the broker say?

The broker has just toured the Arizona laramide copper belt, visiting several mines and projects including Rio Tinto's Resolution mine site near the town of Superior.

Goldman believes that the next phase of underground development at Resolution could potentially begin in 2024, with possible first copper production probably around 2030-2032. It also highlights that there should be some synergies with the company's Kennecott operation in Utah, including sending copper concentrate by rail to the Kennecott smelter.

While this is still some way off, it is still good news given how miners are constantly looking for the next production opportunity as older mines become depleted. Goldman also highlights that this will mean it doesn't have to spend big on M&A. The broker commented:

Given Resolution permitting could potentially be close and could be a large capex (RIO share US$4-5bn) greenfield project that is not in our base case, or unlikely in consensus forecasts, we believe RIO does not need large scale copper M&A to grow. Resolution won't be an easy mine to develop (deep, wet and hot), but RIO has plenty of block caving expertise with Oyu Tolgoi (OT) in Mongolia, where the OT project team could in theory roll onto Resolution in 2024.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Materials Shares

How much upside does Macquarie forecast for Pilbara Minerals shares?

Is the broker bullish or bearish on this lithium giant? Let's find out.

Read more »

Group of miners working at a coal mine with one smiling and holding up a piece of coal.
Materials Shares

How much upside does Macquarie project for South32 shares?

Is this miner's luck about to change?

Read more »

A group of miners in hard hats sitting in a mine chatting on a break as ASX coal shares perform well today
Materials Shares

Down but not out: Can these ASX mining shares bounce back?

Here’s what one broker is predicting for Australia’s largest mining companies. 

Read more »

Broker analysing the share price.
Materials Shares

Buy, hold, or sell? Broker's verdict on 3 ASX 200 materials shares

Materials was one of four market sectors that weakened in overall value in FY25.

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Materials Shares

Why is this ASX mining stock crashing 14% today?

Let's see what is causing investors to hit the sell button on Monday.

Read more »

Three miners stand together at a mine site studying documents with equipment in the background
Materials Shares

$10,000 invested in BHP shares in FY25 is now worth

Did the Big Australian outperform or underperform during the last financial year?

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk pondering at his laptop screen with a piece of paper in his hand.
Share Market News

Why did Macquarie just downgrade Liontown resources shares?

Here’s what the broker had to say about this materials company. 

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands, despairing at the bad result he's reading on his computer.
Materials Shares

Why did Macquarie downgrade Mineral Resources shares?

The broker is no longer bullish on this mining and mining services company.

Read more »