How big will the Rio Tinto dividend be in 2024?

Will this mining giant be making it rain for shareholders next year?

| More on:
a mine worker holds his phone in one hand and a tablet in the other as he stands in front of heavy machinery at a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

As well as being one of the biggest miners in the world, Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX: RIO) is also one of the biggest dividend payers.

Every year, the mining giant shares a large portion of its profits with its grateful shareholders.

This has seen tens of billions of dollars handed out in passive income over the last few years.

For example, in FY 2021, the miner's dividend totalled US$16.8 billion, whereas in FY 2022 a total of US$8 billion was dished out to shareholders.

What's next for the Rio Tinto dividend?

The good news for investors is that Rio Tinto continues to operate with the same dividend policy that has been in place since 2016. In its last annual report, it commented:

Our shareholder returns policy dates back to 2016. We have committed to returning 40% to 60% of underlying earnings on average through the cycle, with additional returns in periods of strong earnings and cash generation. Over the past seven years, we have paid out at the top end of the range, at 60% for the ordinary dividend, in each year.

We have remained very consistent with our shareholder returns policy, with the payout ratio giving us some flexibility with regard to the macro-economic environment. It remains a core part of our equity story, which we see as paramount for maintaining discipline. Our financial strength means that we can reinvest for growth, accelerate our decarbonisation and continue to pay attractive dividends through the cycle.

Over at Goldman Sachs, its analysts expect this to lead to the mining behemoth rewarding its shareholders with a full-year dividend of US$5.37 (A$8.24) per share in FY 2023 and then US$4.62 (A$7.09) per share in FY 2024.

Based on the current Rio Tinto share price of $107.77, this will mean very attractive dividend yields of 7.6% and 6.6%, respectively.

Goldman also sees potential for material upside from Rio Tinto's shares with its buy rating and $136.10 price target.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A young man wearing a black and white striped t-shirt looks surprised.
Materials Shares

Guess which small-cap ASX mining stock just surged 38% on a 'significant milestone'

Let's see why investors are fighting to get hold of this share on Friday.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

ASX lithium shares like Mineral Resources thrown $150 million government lifeline

Lithium miners in WA can breathe a bit easier amid a new funding announcement.

Read more »

A woman with a sad face stands under a shredded umbrella in a grey thunderstorm
Materials Shares

Sell this ASX 200 lithium stock now amid a 'cloudy outlook'

The ASX 200 lithium producer could have further to fall in 2025.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Materials Shares

Why today is a big day for Core Lithium shares

Why is everyone talking about Core Lithium shares today?

Read more »

An unhappy investor holding his eyes while watching a falling ASX share price on a computer screen.
Materials Shares

This ASX All Ords stock just crashed 22%. Here's why

Let's see why this stock is having a bad day after returning from a trading halt.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her hand to her mouth and a contemplative smile on her face as she reads about the performance of Allkem shares on her computer
Materials Shares

This $9.3 billion ASX 200 stock just surged 7%. Here's why

This ASX 200 stock seems to be acting as a safe haven today.

Read more »

A woman jumps for joy with a rocket drawn on the wall behind her.
Materials Shares

Why is this ASX 300 battery tech stock jumping 11% today?

Another agreement and big plans are getting investors excited on Monday.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

'I hate what I have done': Mineral Resources share price down as Ellison laments actions

Managing Director Chris Ellison says he deeply regrets the impact of his 'error of judgement'.

Read more »