Up 44% this year: 2 ASX 200 'recovery' shares starting to rocket

Momentum is more important than you think when buying stocks. Here's a rising pair that one expert is bullish on.

| More on:
A man in business suit wearing old fashioned pilot's leather headgear, goggles and scarf bounces on a pogo stick in a dry, arid environment with nothing else around except distant hills in the background.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

While business fundamentals are important, momentum also has a role when investing in ASX shares.

Yes, the share price theoretically should reflect how well the company is going. But it's also a reflection of how popular the stock is.

The underlying business could be super profitable with customers lining up, but if investors flee then the stock price will head down.

So let's take a look at two S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) shares that have gone gangbusters so far this year, which one expert reckons has more to come:

'Long and bullish'

Despite rising interest rates dampening the housing market, construction materials provider James Hardie Industries plc (ASX: JHX) has seen its shares rocket 44% year to date.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3James Hardie Industries Plc PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALLwww.fool.com.au

Shaw and Partners portfolio manager James Gerrish attributed this rise to "a positive interpretation of its results".

"James Hardie is a manufacturer of fibre cement building products, with operations across North America, Europe and Asia-Pacific," he said in Market Matters.

"We still see greater than 25% North America EBIT margin as the key upside from the FY23 result."

Despite the steep run up in its valuation, his team continues to be "long and bullish" for James Hardie shares.

"We note the… chart pattern of a 'recovery stock'. i.e. As we often say, the markets are like a jigsaw where you need to predict the final picture without all of the pieces," Gerrish said.

"We are initially targeting ~$40 for JHX but believe surprises are likely to be on the upside."

James Hardie shares closed Monday at $37.78.

Kicking goals on the other side of the world

Coincidentally, shares for travel agent Corporate Travel Management Ltd (ASX: CTD) are also 44% higher than where they started 2023.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Corporate Travel Management PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALLwww.fool.com.au

According to Gerrish, the main driver of this was a massive contract win in the United Kingdom.

"[The deal] highlighted the strength of the UK business plus the way Corporate Travel is regarded by the UK government," he said.

"We estimate a potential upside of 10% to 13% from the contract which has been reflected by the share price."

Perhaps this one is a bit closer to its peak than James Hardie, which makes Gerrish's team wait for $2 to $3 pullbacks before buying.

Regardless, he said the stock is "looking well positioned through 2023".

"The company differentiates itself from competitors through its superior technology offering and its return on investment focus, which aims to reduce clients' overall travel spend."

Should you invest $1,000 in Bitcoin right now?

Before you buy Bitcoin shares, consider this:

Motley Fool investing expert Scott Phillips just revealed what he believes are the 5 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Bitcoin wasn't one of them.

The online investing service he’s run for over a decade, Motley Fool Share Advisor, has provided thousands of paying members with stock picks that have doubled, tripled or even more.*

And right now, Scott thinks there are 5 stocks that may be better buys...

See The 5 Stocks *Returns as of 3 April 2025

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has positions in Corporate Travel Management. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Corporate Travel Management. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

A man working in the stock exchange.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A panel of four judges hold up cards all showing the perfect score of ten out of ten
Broker Notes

10 best shares to buy today in Australia

Analysts think these shares are among the best to buy now.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Financial Shares

This leading broker just upgraded AMP shares to 'outperform'. Here's why

This top broker just turned bullish on AMP shares. But why?

Read more »

A Paladin Energy miner wearing a hard hat and protective gear stands in front of a large mining truck and smiles to the camera.
Energy Shares

Paladin Energy shares have surged 32% in 2 days. Macquarie says that's the tip of the iceberg

After a tough year, the future is looking brighter for Paladin Energy shares.

Read more »

A male sharemarket analyst sits at his desk looking intently at his laptop with two other monitors next to him showing stock price movements
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's what brokers are recommending as buys this week.

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Broker Notes

Leading brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers believe that now could be the time to snap up these shares.

Read more »

a woman holds a facebook like thumbs up sign high above her head. She has a very happy smile on her face.
Broker Notes

Bell Potter names the best dirt cheap ASX 200 stocks to buy

These top stocks could be going cheap according to the broker.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »