Why BHP shares made our headlines this week

BHP shares could be set to benefit from a decade of global underinvestment in new resource projects.

| More on:
An old-fashioned news boy stands on a stool and yells through a microphone in an open field.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares have recouped their morning losses and are up 0.2% at the time of writing.

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) iron ore miner is currently trading for $44.32 per share. That's up 1.9% from last Friday's closing price.

That's the latest price action for you.

Now, here's why BHP shares made our headlines this week.

What's been happening with BHP shares?

The ASX 200 iron ore giant popped into The Motley Fool headlines on Monday after Ben Cleary, portfolio manager for the Tribeca Global Natural Resources Fund, said BHP shares could trade for $100 apiece over the longer term. That's 126% higher than the current price.

Cleary said that supply constraints for industrial metals were looming, despite fears of a global recession and some slower-than-expected short-term demand from China.

He noted that there's been a "decade of underinvestment in new projects, while demand is continuing to build amid the transition to a decarbonised world".

And he pointed to ongoing strong credit growth in China as likely to fuel demand for iron ore.

"We just think it's a great time to be adding exposure to the sector, and we have been, despite the uncertain environment we're in," Cleary said.

Indeed, on Thursday BHP shares were back in our headlines as the miner outpaced the ASX 200, closing the day up 1.2%.

That came on the back of a 2.8% overnight increase in the price of iron ore, to US$110 a tonne.

Why did the price of the steel-making metal lift-off?

Well, mostly thanks to China, where new home prices increased 0.3% across 70 cities in April.

"The market is hoping this is a harbinger to a pick-up in steel output," ANZ economist John Bromhead said.

"Optimism was further fuelled after China's NDRC pledge to keep boosting loans to the manufacturing sector," he added.

Let's not forget the juicy BHP dividends

BHP shares also made our headlines this week thanks to the miner's fully franked dividends.

The ASX 200 miner currently trades on an 8.8% trailing yield.

And Goldman Sachs believes BHP shares will continue to deliver above-average dividend yields over the next two years.

The broker is forecasting the miner will pay dividends of $3.08 in FY23 and $2.45 in FY24.

At the current share price, that comes out to a yield of 7% in FY23 and 5.5% in FY24.

Goldman also has a $49.90 12-month price target on BHP shares. That's 12.6% above the current price.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Goldman Sachs Group. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

A mining worker wearing a white hardhat and a high vis vest stands on a platform overlooking a huge mine, thinking about what comes next.
Dividend Investing

BHP shares have fallen out of the global top 20 dividend payers. Here's why

Global dividends continue to climb.

Read more »

Miner standing in front of a vehicle at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Is the worst now over for Mineral Resources shares?

What's next for the miner?

Read more »

A miner holding a hard hat stands in the foreground of an open cut mine
Resources Shares

A close look at BHP shares. What is the mining giant's next move?

Let's take stock of what the experts think.

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Short bets on Pilbara Minerals shares are declining. Is now the time to buy?

Could the trade be unwinding?

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

'I hate what I have done': Mineral Resources share price down as Ellison laments actions

Managing Director Chris Ellison says he deeply regrets the impact of his 'error of judgement'.

Read more »

A man in shirt and tie uses his mobile phone under water.
Resources Shares

The Lake Resources share price is sinking yet again. Here's why

The longer-term downtrend continues.

Read more »

Miner and company person analysing results of a mining company.
Resources Shares

With a P/E ratio of 6, is the Fortescue share price a bargain?

Let’s dig into whether Fortescue shares are good value or not, in my eyes.

Read more »

A man wearing a hard hat and high visibility vest looks out over a vast plain where heavy mining equipment can be seen in the background.
Resources Shares

Down 15% this year, where's the next stop for Rio Tinto shares?

Where to next for the miner?

Read more »