Why ANZ shares are Citi's top banking pick

ANZ could be your ticket to riches in the banking sector according to Citi.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If your portfolio lacks banking sector exposure, then now could be the time to pounce on ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares.

With the banking giant's shares down approximately 10% over the last three months, the team at Citi appear to believe a buying opportunity has opened up for investors.

Particularly given that ANZ shares are the broker's top pick in the banking sector right now.

A businessman lights up the fifth star in a lineup, indicating positive share price for a top performer

Image source: Getty Images

What is Citi saying about ANZ shares?

According to a recent note, the broker has a buy rating and $26.50 price target on the bank's shares.

Based on its current share price of $23.58, this implies potential upside of 12.4% for investors over the next 12 months.

And with Citi expecting ANZ shares to provide investors with 7% fully franked dividend yields through to at least FY 2025, the total 12-month potential return on offer here stretches to almost 20%.

Why is ANZ its top pick?

When reviewing the bank's recent half-year results, Citi revealed why it thinks investors should choose ANZ above other big four banks. It said:

ANZ reported 1H23 cash earnings of $3,821m, in-line with market expectations. However, unlike its recent reported peers, this result was well-received, despite ANZ facing the same competitive pressures on both sides of its balance sheet. We see ANZ having two key advantages for the current environment: 1) a strong deposit franchise finally showing its strength; and 2) a large weighting to Institutional banking.

These advantages are inextricably linked. We have lowered our forward NIM estimates to reflect the industry competition pressure, but the profile shows a more modest decline. Cash EPS estimates are unchanged in FY23, down 7-8% in FY24/25, with our longer-term ROE of 10.5% thereafter remaining intact. This leaves a more modest 3% TP reduction to $26.50. We see ANZ's unique capabilities as set to deliver relative outperformance in the current market conditions. ANZ is our preferred Major Bank exposure.

All in all, this could make ANZ a top option to consider if you're lacking banking sector exposure.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A man in a business suit and tie places three wooden blocks with the numbers 1, 2, and 3 on them on top of each other.
Bank Shares

3 reasons CBA shares could be worth buying today

Few companies dominate conversations about the Australian share market quite like this one.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Bank Shares

What's next for ANZ shares after expectations-busting results?

The banking giant is trading in the green again today.

Read more »

man looking through binoculars
Bank Shares

Why is everyone talking about the CBA share price this week?

CBA has been in the spotlight this week.

Read more »

A man in a business suit peers through binoculars as two businesswomen stand beside him looking straight ahead at the camera.
Bank Shares

3 Australian bank stocks that could outperform global peers again in 2026 and 2027

These are my three top picks.

Read more »

View from below of a banker jumping for joy in the CBD surrounded by high-rise office buildings.
Bank Shares

Up 19% in 7 weeks, are CBA shares a good buy today?

A leading investment expert delivers his outlook on CBA's surging shares.

Read more »

A man is shocked about the explosion happening out of his brain.
Bank Shares

Forget NAB shares, this ASX fintech stock could double in value

Most brokers see downside for NAB, but upside of up to 185% for this ASX share.

Read more »

A young man looks like he his thinking holding his hand to his chin and gazing off to the side amid a backdrop of hand drawn lightbulbs that are lit up on a chalkboard.
Bank Shares

What next for CBA shares after expectations-busting results?

The banking giant's shares are flying high.

Read more »

A young female ASX investor sits at her desk with her fists raised in excitement as she reads about rising ASX share prices on her laptop.
Bank Shares

How much have investors made in big four bank shares over the past year?

Once again, ASX bank stocks are proving a strong investment.

Read more »