Why ANZ shares are Citi's top banking pick

ANZ could be your ticket to riches in the banking sector according to Citi.

| More on:
A businessman lights up the fifth star in a lineup, indicating positive share price for a top performer

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

If your portfolio lacks banking sector exposure, then now could be the time to pounce on ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) shares.

With the banking giant's shares down approximately 10% over the last three months, the team at Citi appear to believe a buying opportunity has opened up for investors.

Particularly given that ANZ shares are the broker's top pick in the banking sector right now.

What is Citi saying about ANZ shares?

According to a recent note, the broker has a buy rating and $26.50 price target on the bank's shares.

Based on its current share price of $23.58, this implies potential upside of 12.4% for investors over the next 12 months.

And with Citi expecting ANZ shares to provide investors with 7% fully franked dividend yields through to at least FY 2025, the total 12-month potential return on offer here stretches to almost 20%.

Why is ANZ its top pick?

When reviewing the bank's recent half-year results, Citi revealed why it thinks investors should choose ANZ above other big four banks. It said:

ANZ reported 1H23 cash earnings of $3,821m, in-line with market expectations. However, unlike its recent reported peers, this result was well-received, despite ANZ facing the same competitive pressures on both sides of its balance sheet. We see ANZ having two key advantages for the current environment: 1) a strong deposit franchise finally showing its strength; and 2) a large weighting to Institutional banking.

These advantages are inextricably linked. We have lowered our forward NIM estimates to reflect the industry competition pressure, but the profile shows a more modest decline. Cash EPS estimates are unchanged in FY23, down 7-8% in FY24/25, with our longer-term ROE of 10.5% thereafter remaining intact. This leaves a more modest 3% TP reduction to $26.50. We see ANZ's unique capabilities as set to deliver relative outperformance in the current market conditions. ANZ is our preferred Major Bank exposure.

All in all, this could make ANZ a top option to consider if you're lacking banking sector exposure.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A person leans over to whisper a secret to a colleague during a meeting.
Bank Shares

Here are the latest growth forecasts for the CBA share price

Can the bank continue rising? Here are some expert views.

Read more »

A businessman presents a company annual report in front of a group seated at a table
Bank Shares

Earnings season predictions: Macquarie weighs in on the big 4 banks

What are the broker's predictions?

Read more »

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Bank Shares

Major CBA investor reveals why he's all in

This investor described one major reason driving his investment in CBA shares.

Read more »

Young investor sits at desk looking happy after discovering Westpac's dividend reinvestment plan
Bank Shares

Invested $10,000 in Westpac shares 2 years ago? Guess how much you've already banked!

Atop their regular dividend payments, Westpac shares have enjoyed a strong two-year run.

Read more »

Woman calculating dividends on calculator and working on a laptop.
Bank Shares

Buying CBA stock today? Here's the dividend yield you'll get

CBA's yield right now might surprise you.

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Bank Shares

How much would the ASX 200 fall if CBA shares returned to 'fair value'?

CBA shares account for 12% of the ASX 200.

Read more »

A woman sits in a cafe wearing a polka dotted shirt and holding a latte in one hand while reading something on a laptop that is sitting on the table in front of her
Dividend Investing

How are these passive income investors earning a 7.5% dividend yield on their surging CBA shares?

CBA shares are proving more lucrative for some passive income investors than others.

Read more »

A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank.
Bank Shares

$10,000 invested in CBA shares in FY25 is now

Let's see whether it was a successful 12 months for bank investors in the last financial year.

Read more »