Top broker upgrades AGL share price by 19%

Are things turning around for the AGL share price, which is up 10.5% in 2023?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • UBS has raised its share price target on AGL by 19% to $9.60 
  • The AGL share price is $8.94 in early afternoon trading on Wednesday, up 1.13%
  • AGL shares have lost almost 60% of their value over the past five years

The AGL Energy Limited (ASX: AGL) share price is outperforming the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) today amid one top broker raising its price target significantly on the ASX utilities share.

The AGL share price is $8.94 in early afternoon trading on Wednesday, up 1.13%.

Meanwhile, the ASX 200 is down 0.5%.

As reported in The Australian today, UBS has raised its share price target on AGL by 19% to $9.60.

A price target is a broker's estimate of where an ASX share will be trading in 12 months' time.

The new price target implies a potential upside of 7.4% over the next 12 months.

A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.

Image source: Getty Images

What's the latest with the AGL share price?

It's been one hell of a slog for AGL shares investors in recent years.

The stock has lost almost 60% of its value over five years, while the ASX 200 has climbed almost 20%.

That's really tough to watch.

But big fluctuations in the share price are to be expected when a company is going through turmoil.

To recap, AGL generates and retails electricity and gas for residential and commercial use.

Last year, AGL's previous management wanted to divide the company in two. It planned to siphon off AGL's coal power stations and other high-carbon assets into a separate company.

A shareholder revolt followed, led by environmentalist and entrepreneur Mike Cannon-Brookes.

In 2023, the AGL share price is doing better, up 10.7% in the year to date.

What's new with the company?

AGL is among the first ASX 200 companies forced to begin a significant business restructure to meet the challenges of global decarbonisation.

The world wants cleaner energy supplies, and meeting that demand is going to cost AGL a lot of money.

It's hard to make a profit in such difficult times.

The last piece of price-sensitive news out of AGL was in February when it reported its 1H FY23 results.

The company revealed a 55% fall in its underlying net profit after tax (NPAT) to $87 million.

Argh, so painful.

AGL also reported a statutory loss of $1.08 billion, including $706 million of impairment charges (after tax) due to its accelerated decarbonisation plan.

But my Fool colleague Tristan points out that the price/earnings (P/E) ratio now looks quite low based on where the AGL share price is today.

He says he wouldn't be surprised if the AGL share price rises by at least 20% over the next 15 months.

Plus, higher electricity prices could lead to improved dividends for long-suffering shareholders in FY24 and FY25.

AGL insiders also appear to be optimistic. Why else would nine directors be topping up their AGL shares?

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in James Hardie Industries Plc. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended PointsBet. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended PointsBet. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Broker Notes

Excited couple celebrating success while looking at smartphone.
Broker Notes

Up 222% in a year, why this ASX energy share is forecast to more than double your money again

A leading broker forecasts more outsized gains to come from this rocketing ASX energy share. But why?

Read more »

A man holds his head in his hands after seeing bad news on his laptop screen.
Broker Notes

3 massively popular ASX 200 shares experts say to sell (inc. CBA)

Let's see why they are bearish on these names this week.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Broker Notes

Should you buy this $8 billion ASX 200 copper stock amid surging global demand?

A leading analyst drills into the outlook for this $8 billion ASX copper miner.

Read more »

Woman holding gold bar and cheering.
Broker Notes

Up 84% since August, should you buy this $6 billion ASX 200 gold stock today?

A leading expert digs into the outlook for this surging ASX 200 gold stock.

Read more »

A man has a surprised and relieved expression on his face.
Broker Notes

Guess which ASX copper share could surge almost 150%

Bell Potter thinks this stock could be a good pick for investors with a high tolerance for risk.

Read more »

A young male ASX investor raises his clenched fists in excitement because of rising ASX share prices today.
Broker Notes

Forget CBA shares, Bell Potter says this ASX financial stock could deliver a 75% return

The broker sees potential for major upside and a generous return from this stock.

Read more »

Lion roaring in the wild, symbolising a rising Liontown share price.
Broker Notes

Up 117% in a year, should you still buy Liontown shares now?

A leading analyst delivers his verdict on the soaring Liontown share price.

Read more »

Middle age caucasian man smiling confident drinking coffee at home.
Broker Notes

Buy, hold, sell: Bapcor, Challenger, and DroneShield shares

Analysts have given their verdict on these shares this week. Are they bullish, bearish, or something in between?

Read more »