ASX 200 dips as Aussie unemployment remains near historic lows

Consensus estimates had expected the unemployment rate in Australia to tick up from the historic low level of 3.5% posted in February. That did not eventuate.

| More on:
A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen with his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Origin shares

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • ASX 200 drops 0.2% following the ABS labour report
  • Unemployment in Australia remains at a low 3.5%
  • A tight labour market increases the odds of another rate hike from the RBA in May

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) dropped more than 0.2% at 11:30am AEST.

That's when the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) released the latest unemployment figures for March.

Here's what the ABS reported.

Low jobless rate pressuring the ASX 200

Consensus estimates had expected the unemployment rate in Australia to tick up from the historic low level of 3.5% posted in February.

That did not eventuate, with the jobless rate remaining at 3.5% in March.

Among other key statistics, the ABS reported that:

  • The participation rate increased to 66.8%
  • Employment increased to 13,883,100
  • Employment to population ratio remained at 64.4%
  • The underemployment rate increased to 6.1%
  • Monthly hours worked increased to 1.91 billion

In a case of good news (Who doesn't like a strong labour market, after all?) being bad news, the ASX 200 slipped on the report.

That's because a tight labour market is likely to put upward pressure on wages, adding fuel to the simmering inflation fire.

This in turn increases the odds of at least one more interest rate hike from the Reserve Bank of Australia. The RBA's next rate decision is due on 2 May. And higher rates, as you're likely aware, tend to throw up headwinds for most ASX 200 shares.

What else are investors considering today?

In other macroeconomic news impacting share markets, ASX 200 investors also awoke this morning to the latest March Consumer Price Index (CPI) data out of the United States.

As The Motley Fool reported earlier here, CPI in the world's top economy slowed to 5% in March, down from 6% in February.

While slowing inflation is good news, CPI in the US remains far above the Federal Reserve's 2% target range, meaning another rate hike is also likely from the US central bank next month.

And core CPI – which strips out volatile items like energy and food – actually edged higher in March to 5.6%.

With unemployment in the US also still down at a rock bottom 3.5%, US stock markets and the ASX 200 all reacted negatively to the news.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A young smiling couple out hiking enjoy a view from the top of the mountains.
Share Gainers

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

Investors enjoyed a rosy end to the trading week this Friday.

Read more »

A fun depiction of summer Santa Claus -- wearing red swimming trunks and Hawaiian shirt -- sitting in a deck chair on his laptop at the beach.
Opinions

2 ASX stocks on my naughty list this Christmas

Nothing but coal in the stockings of these disappointing companies.

Read more »

Man raising both his arms in the air with a piggy bank on his lap, symbolising a record high.
Record Highs

The multi-billion-dollar ASX tech share hitting new highs on broker bullishness

This ASX tech share darling is up 216% in the year to date and just reset its record price.

Read more »

Cheerful businessman with a mining hat on the table sitting back with his arms behind his head while looking at his laptop's screen.
Resources Shares

Fortescue shares are galloping again as Twiggy stays confident in China's horsepower

It's business as usual for the miner despite Trump's promised 60% tariffs on Chinese imports.

Read more »

A graphic showing a businessman running up a white upwards rising arrow symbolising the soaring Magellan share price today
Share Gainers

How these 3 ASX 200 stocks led the charge higher this week

The three top ASX 200 stocks are up 14% to 34% this week.

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A man clenches his fists in excitement as gold coins fall from the sky.
Share Gainers

Why Imugene, Neuren, Sigma, and Smartgroup shares are charging higher

These shares are ending the week on a high. But why? Let's find out.

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Share Fallers

Why Arcadium Lithium, Block, Jumbo, and Mineral Resources shares

These shares are ending the week in the red. Why are investors selling them?

Read more »