South32 share price jumps on Goldman Sachs upgrade: broker tips monster yield

This mining share could soon be a huge dividend payer according to one broker.

| More on:
A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistful of Australian dollar notes.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price is having a strong session.

At the time of writing, the mining giant's shares are up 3% to $4.40.

Why is the South32 share price charging higher?

Investors have been scrambling to buy the miner's shares today after it was the subject of a bullish broker note out of Goldman Sachs.

According to the note, the broker has upgraded South32's shares to a buy rating with a $4.90 price target.

Based on the current South32 share price, this implies potential upside of 11.3% over the next 12 months.

In addition, Goldman is expecting South32 to pay a monster 40 US cents (A$0.60) per share dividend in FY 2024.

This is significantly greater than consensus estimates and equates to a whopping 13.5% dividend yield at current levels.

What did the broker say?

Goldman made the move partly on valuation and yield grounds. It commented:

We upgrade S32 to Buy (from Neutral) on attractive valuation: Trading at ~0.95xNAV (A$4.6/sh) and on an implied TSR of ~29%, and an attractive NTM EV/EBITDA multiple of ~2.1x vs. the sector average of 4.5x.

We assume the share buyback continues (at ~US$250mn p.a) and S32 pays out 50% of earnings (40% ordinary, 10% special dividend component) with the FY23 full year result. On our estimates, S32 is on a supportive dividend yield of c. 5% in FY23, increasing to 14% in FY24.

In addition, the broker highlights the miner's "improving FCF outlook on higher production & commodity prices (base metals and met coal)."

All in all, its analysts believe that this could be one of the best ASX 200 mining shares to buy right now, especially if you're an income investor.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Materials Shares

Down 39% in a year, why IGO shares still look overpriced

A leading expert doesn’t believe IGO shares are out of the woods just yet.

Read more »

Man with rocket wings which have flames coming out of them.
Materials Shares

This ASX 300 stock is surging 25% on US defence deal

The announcement of a 'a pivotal milestone' is getting investors excited today.

Read more »

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistful of Australian dollar notes.
Materials Shares

$5,000 invested in BHP shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Will its shareholders be happy with their investment? Let's find out.

Read more »

A young man punches the air in delight as he reacts to great news on his mobile phone.
Materials Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock is ending the week with a bang thanks to Rio Tinto

This stock has won a major contract from the mining giant.

Read more »

A man wearing a hard hat and high visibility vest looks out over a vast plain where heavy mining equipment can be seen in the background.
Materials Shares

Is it time to buy ASX lithium shares?

Lithium prices continue to sink. Has this created a buying opportunity?

Read more »

A man sits in despair at his computer with his hands either side of his head, staring into the screen with a pained and anguished look on his face, in a home office setting.
Materials Shares

Mineral Resources shares sink on Onslow Iron blow

This miner is having a tough session. Let's find out why.

Read more »

A man sits in a chair hunched over a laptop and covered head to toe in frozen icicles to represent Envirosuite's trading halt
Materials Shares

MAC Copper shares in trading halt as miner flags 'potential control transaction'

MAC Copper shares are frozen while Sandfire Resources shares are the fastest risers of the ASX 200 today.

Read more »

A young man pointing up looking amazed, indicating a surging share price movement for an ASX company
Materials Shares

Bell Potter says this ASX lithium stock could rise ~50%

The broker has just put a buy rating on this lithium stock.

Read more »