Will the ASX 200 hit 7,500 again in 2023?

Will we see ASX shares shoot the moon this year?

| More on:
Boy looks quizzical standing in front of a graph.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The ASX 200 first hit 7,500 points back in 2021
  • The last time it was there was in February
  • But since then, the Index has traded sideways

So will the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) hit 7,500 again this year in 2023? Good question!

Of course, the ASX 200 has been at 7,500 points before. A few times, actually. The first time the ASX 200 ever crossed the 7,500-point threshold was back in August 2021. A few days later, we saw the index touch its current all-time high above 7,600 points. But it wasn't to last.

The next time the ASX 200 had another incursion above 7,500 points, it was back in April of 2022. The time after that was recent, in February of this year:

On all of these occasions, the ASX 200's journey above 7,500 points didn't last too long. But perhaps next time will be different.

So will 2023 give the ASX 200 another shot at this milestone?

Will the ASX 200 see 7,500 points again in 2023?

Well, I'll keep this quick. I have no idea. And nor does anyone else. Predicting what the share market will do next is a fool's game (and not the good kind of Fool).

Perhaps additional interest rate rises, more bank failures, some global catastrophe, or sheer investor apathy will drag the ASX 200 under 7,000 points over the rest of the year.

Perhaps investors keep ASX shares where they are for the rest of 2023.

Or perhaps interest rate cuts, good economic news, or unbridled investor optimism will drag the ASX 200 back over 7,500, or even over 8,000 points by the end of the year.

As it stands today, all of these scenarios are possible. And since we don't know what the rest of 2023 has in store for us, there is no way of knowing what might happen. As such, I believe it is folly to try and make decisions or predictions based on events that are impossible to predict.

But here's what we do know. ASX shares go up far more often than they go down. And the ASX 200 Index has never once failed to regain and surpass a previous all-time high.

These are things we know to be true and, thus, we should base our investing habits on them. So I'm going to keep investing in ASX shares throughout the remainder of 2023, regardless of what the markets do.

Mathematics is on the side of the investor who knows the history of the share market. If shares go up more than they go down, it makes sense to buy as much of them as possible as soon as you can.

 

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on How to invest

Person with a handful of Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Investing Strategies

Want cash like Warren? How to stack paper without ditching ASX shares

Life is about trade offs.

Read more »

five people in colourful blow up tubes in a resort style pool gather and smile in a relaxed holiday picture.
Dividend Investing

5 simple steps to earning $500 in monthly ASX passive income

Almost any investor can build a $500 monthly passive income from ASX dividend shares.

Read more »

A businesswoman on the phone is shocked as she looks at her watch, she's running out of time.
How to invest

How timing the market can cost you big dollars

And one simple way ASX investors can avoid the urge...

Read more »

Legendary share market investing expert and owner of Berkshire Hathaway Warren Buffett
How to invest

5 easy ways to invest like Warren Buffett with ASX shares

Here’s how we can imitate Warren Buffett with ASX shares.

Read more »

Businessman working and using Digital Tablet new business project finance investment at coffee cafe.
How to invest

If I'd put $20,000 into the ASX 200 at the start of 2024, here's what I'd have now

Was it a good idea to invest in the share market this year?

Read more »

Man holding a calculator with Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
How to invest

Here's how I'd invest $200 a month and aim for $50,000 of annual passive income

Getting paid without having to lift a finger? Sign me up!

Read more »

A man in his 30s holds his laptop and operates it with his other hand as he has a look of pleasant surprise on his face as though he is learning something new or finding hidden value in something on the screen.
How to invest

Here's how to buy Chinese stocks on the ASX

Buying Chinese stocks is trickier than you might think.

Read more »

A couple lying down and laughing, symbolising passive income.
How to invest

Here's how you could turn a $5,000 ASX share portfolio into $50,000

I believe anyone can make money with ASX shares using some simple rules.

Read more »