Why did the Zip share price zoom higher in March?

BNPL business Zip outperformed in March. Here's why.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points
  • Zip shares went up around 10% in March, outperforming the ASX 200 significantly
  • It’s exiting a number of businesses, which could help it reach its cash flow breakeven goal
  • However, the Zip share price is still down heavily over the last year

The Zip Co Ltd (ASX: ZIP) share price significantly outperformed the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) in March 2023.

The buy now, pay later (BNPL) business climbed by around 10% while the ASX 200 fell by around 1%. It's been rare for Zip to have such a positive month compared to the ASX.

But, there's a very good reason for the company's outperformance.

woman using affirm to pay

Image source: Getty Images

Cash flow breakeven?

Zip announced at the end of March 2023 that it had signed agreements to divest its businesses in South Africa (Payflex) and central and eastern Europe (Twisto). The BNPL business also said that it's winding down its business in the Middle East.

The ASX share said that it expects aggregate net cash inflows of approximately $20 million to be received in the FY23 second half as a result of these moves.

Zip noted that cash earnings before tax, depreciation and amortisation (EBTDA) for its Europe, Middle East and African (EMEA) businesses was negative $10.2 million in the first half of FY23. As a result of the announced transactions and decisions, on completion of the moves by Zip, it will have "successfully delivered on its objective of neutralising cash burn from its rest of the world (RoW) footprint by the end of this financial year."

In that announcement, the company said that it continues to progress other activities in line with its strategic priorities. It also said that this demonstrated its focus on the core businesses of the US, and Australia and New Zealand.

Zip noted that the expected cash inflows will "contribute directly to the group's available cash and liquidity and Zip remains confident that it has sufficient available cash and liquidity to deliver on positive group cash EBTDA during H1 FY24."

Is this good news?

The market definitely seemed to like it, with the Zip share price rising.

One of the biggest issues that Zip faced before this announcement is that it wasn't cash flow breakeven, yet it had to grow to have enough scale to potentially be breakeven. Spending on growth activities uses cash.

On top of that, the environment has changed for BNPL. Interest rates have shot higher, which is problematic because interest is one of the main expenses for Zip. There is also increasing talk about regulators introducing regulation.

The business may be on track for breakeven, though there's more to its future success than just that. With the business walking away from a number of markets, it's now betting more on the US being able to provide a lot of the growth that it's looking for.

The recent FY23 half-year result showed that US revenue was up 6% to $152.5 million, while ANZ revenue was up 23%. But, the rest of the world revenue had increased 374% to $18 million.

Zip share price snapshot

Since the start of 2023, Zip shares are flat compared to the start of the year.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Zip Co. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on BNPL shares

women with her fingers crossed and eyes shut
BNPL shares

Prediction: Zip shares could explode over 230% to $5.27

Zip has faced multiple headwinds and slumping investor sentiment over the past six months.

Read more »

A man is shocked about the explosion happening out of his brain.
Bank Shares

Forget NAB shares, this ASX fintech stock could double in value

Most brokers see downside for NAB, but upside of up to 185% for this ASX share.

Read more »

A young woman looks happily at her phone in one hand with a selection of retail shopping bags in her other hand.
Share Market News

3 reasons to buy this oversold ASX growth stock today

Brokers are upbeat and see upside up to 196%!

Read more »

Photo of two women shopping.
BNPL shares

Are Block shares back in play?

Brokers are upbeat and see a 70% to 170% upside.

Read more »

A happy shopper with a wide mouthed smile holds multiple shopping bags up around her shoulders.
BNPL shares

Why Zip shares are bouncing back 5% today

Some brokers see current share price as a buying opportunity with 100%+ upside.

Read more »

Man drawing an upward line on a bar graph symbolising a rising share price.
BNPL shares

This expert thinks the Zip share price is a buy and could rise 140%!

This expert says Zip is an opportunity to buy now.

Read more »

A man in a business suit scratches his head looking at a graph that started high then dips, then starts to go up again like a rollercoaster.
BNPL shares

Down 45% in 2026, could you double your money buying the dip in Zip shares now?

A leading investment analyst says that the argument for buying the latest dip in Zip shares “must be asked”.

Read more »

Ecstatic woman on her phone giving a fist pump after reading some good news.
BNPL shares

Why are Zip shares rebounding 5% today?

This beaten down stock plans to buy its shares on-market.

Read more »