Does the Westpac share price fall make it a no-brainer buy?

Here are three reasons that I think investors should be picking up Westpac shares.

| More on:
A woman looks questioning as she puts a coin into a piggy bank.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Westpac shares have been hammered this year
  • The recent banking crisis has weighed heavily on the sector
  • I think this recent weakness is a great buying opportunity for investors

The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price is on course to end the week on a mildly positive note.

At the time of writing, the banking giant's shares are up 0.25% to $21.75.

However, despite this, the Westpac share price remains down almost 7% since the start of the year.

Investors may now be wondering if this is a buying opportunity. Here are three reasons I think buying Westpac shares is a no-brainer.

Strong capital position

A lot of the weakness in the Westpac share price this year has been driven by the banking crisis.

While seeing banks go out of business is always unnerving, it is worth noting that Westpac and the rest of the big four are among the most liquid in the world.

As I mentioned here last week, Westpac has a CET1 ratio of 11.13%, a net stable funding ratio (NSFR) of 139%, and a liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) of 122%. These are all comfortably ahead of requirements.

I believe this makes the recent pullback an overreaction and an opportunity for investors to pick up shares at a discount.

Cost cutting

Another reason I am bullish on the Westpac share price is its cost-cutting plans.

Australia's oldest bank is aiming to reduce its cost base to $8.6 billion by FY 2024. This compares to its 'ongoing' cost base of $9.1 billion in FY 2021.

This is particularly positive in the current inflationary environment, which has seen many other companies (including other big four banks) reporting sizeable increases in their costs.

For example, last month, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) reported a 5% or $283 million increase in its first-half operating costs to $5.77 billion.

Together with the benefits of rising interest rates, Westpac's lower cost base should be a boost to its bottom line and, ultimately, its dividends. Speaking of which, this leads us to the third reason to be bullish.

The Westpac dividend yield

One positive from falling share prices is that the potential dividend yields on offer become more attractive.

For example, Goldman Sachs expects Westpac's earnings growth to underpin fully franked dividends per share of $1.47 in FY 2023, $1.56 in FY 2024, and then $1.65 in FY 2025.

Based on the latest Westpac share price, this will mean monster yields of 6.75%, 7.2%, and 7.6%, respectively.

And with Goldman having a conviction buy rating and a $27.74 price target on its shares, there's also potential for some big capital gains as well.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has positions in Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

A young woman uses a laptop and calculator while working from home.
Bank Shares

With a 6% dividend yield, is the NAB share price a buy?

Can investors bank on good returns from this blue-chip financial stock?

Read more »

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.
Bank Shares

One stock I'd snap up in the next ASX 200 stock market crash

This is the stock I'd add to my portfolio if the market tanks.

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

Are NAB shares a buy following the bank's latest results?

Here's my take on this week's NAB earnings...

Read more »

View of a business man's hand passing a $100 note to another with a bank in the background.
Bank Shares

Everything you need to know about the ANZ dividend

Here’s how much passive income ANZ shareholders can bank on this year.

Read more »

Happy couple at Bank ATM machine.
Earnings Results

ANZ shares on watch after cash profit dives 9% to $6.7b

How did the big four bank perform during the 12 months compared to expectations?

Read more »

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Bank Shares

CBA shares: What to watch out for in next week's update

We discuss what to look out for in CBA's earnings next week...

Read more »

Man holding out Australian dollar notes, symbolising dividends.
Bank Shares

Everything you need to know about the NAB dividend

NAB will soon be sending its next payout to investors.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Bank Shares

Why is the Bendigo Bank share price tanking today?

There are a few things that could be driving this bank lower today.

Read more »