If I buy NAB shares today, what could my returns be in a year's time?

Is it worth investing in this banking giant's shares right now? Here are the numbers.

| More on:
A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) share price is heading in the right direction on Tuesday.

In afternoon trade, the banking giant's shares are up 1.5% to $27.81.

However, NAB's shares are still down 13% over the last 12 months and almost 18% from their 52-week high.

While this share price weakness is disappointing, it could have created a great buying opportunity for investors.

Could NAB shares generate strong returns?

Let's take a look to see what might happen over the next 12 months if you were to invest $10,000 into NAB shares today.

According to a note out of Goldman Sachs, its analysts currently have a buy rating and $35.42 price target on the bank's shares.

Based on the current NAB share price, this implies potential upside of approximately 27.3% for investors between now and this time next year.

If the bank's shares were to rise in line with Goldman's price target, it would turn a $10,000 investment into approximately $12,700. Not bad at all!

Don't forget the dividends

Let's not forget that NAB, like the rest of the big four, is a popular option for income investors thanks to its tendency to pay big fully franked dividends.

The good news is that Goldman Sachs expects this to be the case in the coming years.

Its analysts are forecasting the bank to increase its fully franked dividend from $1.51 per share in FY 2022 to $1.73 per share in FY 2023 and then $1.76 per share the following year. Based on where NAB's shares are trading currently, Goldman's estimates imply a generous 6.2% yield for investors.

That's the equivalent of $620 of income from our $10,000 investment, which increases our total return to $13,320.

If Goldman is on the money with its recommendation, this will ultimately mean a very attractive 33.2% return on our original investment.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Modern accountant woman in a light business suit in modern green office with documents and laptop.
Bank Shares

Is it possible to find an undervalued ASX bank stock right now?

Is the rise of the banks a double-edged sword?

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

ANZ shares fall on $100m class action settlement news

The big four bank is paying out almost $100 million but without the admission of liability.

Read more »

Engineer at an underground mine and talking to a miner.
Bank Shares

Will the rotation out of ASX 200 bank shares into the miners continue?

Tyndall AM research analyst, Tom Hays, provides his point of view.

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

Up 35% in a year, is now the time to short CBA shares?

This investing expert expects CBA shares are about to deflate.

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Bank Shares

The NAB share price underperformed in September, can it rebound?

Can NAB shares bounce back after a disappointing September?

Read more »

Woman shaking the hand of a man on a deal.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares lower despite $1.5b asset sale

The banking giant has inked a deal for its auto finance business.

Read more »

People on a rollercoaster waving hands in the air, indicating a plummeting or rising share price
Bank Shares

ANZ shares went through a very volatile September, what now?

What could happen next with the ASX bank share?

Read more »

Nervous customer in discussions at a bank.
Bank Shares

Westpac shares: Bank in spotlight after landing on RBA's naughty list

Reports suggest the bank breached the RBA's trust.

Read more »