'Increasing demand': Expert picks 2 ASX 200 mining shares to buy (not BHP)

The resources sector carried the Australian market last year, and some stocks will surge again this year.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Mining stocks absolutely carried the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) last year.

And even though western economies are struggling, China's post-COVID resurgence has many experts betting that there will be renewed thirst for raw materials.

Fairmont Equities managing director Michael Gable this week picked out two ASX shares in the resources sector that would make handsome buys at the moment:

Two smiling men in high visibility vests and yellow hardhats stand side by side with a large mound of earth and mining equipment behind them smiling as the Carnaby Resources share price rises today

Image source: Getty Images

Now is the buying opportunity for metals producer

The South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) share price has fallen almost 15% since 3 March.

"In our view, this can be considered a buying opportunity for this diversified mining company trading at a discount," Gable told The Bull.

He's not the only one thinking along those lines. According to CMC Markets, ten out of 19 analysts are currently rating South32 as a strong buy.

The analysts at Citi were certainly pleased with what they saw over reporting season.

"1H FY23 profit of US$560 million was better than expected," reported The Motley Fool's James Mickleboro.

"Importantly, FY23 production and cost guidance was maintained. FY24 production guidance points to modestly higher output in FY24."

In rating South32 as a buy, the Citi team predicted that it has plenty of upside to come.

"We believe S32 has not yet run to full valuation levels trading on FY24E EV/EBITDA of 4x vs peers at >5x."

Gable points to the upside in commodity prices forecast for the rest of this year.

"Low inventories in base metals should lead to a spike in prices," he said.

"We expect increasing demand for base metals in later 2023."

Gold will conquer the world

Gold is considered a safe haven asset for troubled times, and that's no different in 2023 for Gable.

"We've been positive on gold stocks for the past few months, and still believe Newcrest Mining Ltd (ASX: NCM) is a buy at current levels."

Newcrest shares have rocketed in sync with gold prices, with the stock gaining more than 62% since late September.

Gable likes the momentum.

"The share price has been trending higher since September 2022 and we expect it to continue moving forward," he said.

"Any fall in the US dollar will be positive for gold prices."

Another catalyst could come in the form of an acquisition.

"Potential exists for a new takeover bid after Newcrest rejected an offer from Newmont Corporation (NYSE: NEM) in February."

The team at Firetrail is also a fan, last month nominating Newcrest shares as a stock to hold for the next decade.

They believe that the US dollar will lose its status as the world's reserve currency, thus pushing gold into prominence.

"Gold was the world's reserve currency for 5,000 years. It was only usurped by the US dollar 40 years ago following the breakdown of the gold standard," Firetrail analysts said in a memo to clients.

"A greater role in world finance will put upward pressure on the gold price to the benefit [of] low cost, long life gold miners such as Newcrest Mining."

Motley Fool contributor Tony Yoo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

a man wearing a hard hat and a high visibility vest stands with his arms crossed in front of heavy equipment at a mine site.
Resources Shares

3 ASX mining shares: Buy, hold, or sell?

ASX 300 mining shares have fallen 16% since the conflict in Iran began.

Read more »

Young successful engineer, with blueprints, notepad, and digital tablet, observing the project implementation on construction site and in mine.
Resources Shares

Following a key approval, one broker tips 80% upside for this ASX rare earths stock

There could be massive gains to be made.

Read more »

Two workers on site discuss the next stage of this civil engineering job.
Resources Shares

This ASX mining stock just jumped. Here's what's driving the move today

Nickel Industries shares are in the green today.

Read more »

A business person directs a pointed finger upwards on a rising arrow on a bar graph.
Broker Notes

Why this buy-rated ASX mining share is tipped to surge 112%

A leading broker expects this ASX mining share to more than double investors’ money in a year.

Read more »

A woman in high visibility clothing and a hard hat stands in front of an aluminium smelter.
Resources Shares

Rio Tinto just locked in a major deal. Here's why investors are buying today

Rio Tinto shares rise after announcing a major aluminium deal.

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

Are these 3 ASX 200 mining shares a buy, hold, or sell?

What changes have the experts made to their ratings and price targets since the war in Iran began?

Read more »

A man in a hard hat gives a thumbs up as he holds a clipboard in one hand against a blue sky background.
Resources Shares

ASX mining shares have slumped but long-term outlook is positive

The ASX 200 materials sector has slumped 19% since the war in Iran began.

Read more »

Two workers working with a large copper coil in a factory.
Broker Notes

Should you buy this $8 billion ASX 200 copper stock amid surging global demand?

A leading analyst drills into the outlook for this $8 billion ASX copper miner.

Read more »