Down 14% in a month, should I buy the dip on CBA shares?

CBA has suffered more than most in this market downturn.

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

It's a bit of an understatement to say that the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has had a bit of a rough month. Since mid-February, the ASX 200 has lost just under 4.7% of its value. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) shares haven't been spared either. 

Yesterday, CBA recovered from a nasty morning plunge to finish the day slightly higher at $95.28 a share. That was despite the CBA share price falling as low as $93.05 soon after lunchtime.

But even so, since the beginning of February, CBA shares have lost close to 15%. Yes, a month ago, CBA was going for more than $111 a share. But yesterday, this leading ASX 200 bank closed at $95.28.

That leaves the CBA share price down by 5.7% year to date:

As what many investors on the ASX regard as a high-quality share, it's not too often that we see pullbacks like this in the CBA share price.

As such, many investors might be wondering if this dramatic pullback over the past month has left the Commonwealth Bank share price in the buy zone today.

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.

Image source: Getty Images

Are CBA shares a buy-the-dip opportunity right now?

Well, one ASX broker who reckons CBA shares could be in the buy zone after these recent falls is Morgans. As my Fool colleague James covered earlier this month, Morgan currently rates CBA as one of its best buy ideas. That's despite the broker only having a hold rating on the bank right now.

Even so, Morgans gives the CBA share price a 12-month target of $96.11 per share – slightly above where CBA closed at yesterday.

Here's some of what the broker said in its recommendation:

We view CBA as the highest quality bank and a core portfolio holding for the long term, but the trade-off is it is the most expensive on key valuation metrics (including the lowest dividend yield). Amongst the major banks, CBA has the highest return on equity, lowest cost of equity (reflecting asset and funding mix), and strongest technology.

As such, Morgans might be even more bullish on CBA shares after their recent descent.

The broker is also forecasting a fully franked, final dividend of $2.40 per share later this year, which would be a nice boost to investor returns too if Morgans is on the money here.

So that's how one ASX broker views the Commonwealth Bank share price right now. Take that how you will.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Frustrated and shocked business woman reading bad news online from phone.
Bank Shares

Market alert: 2 major ASX bank shares could fall double digits

Investors may need to rethink if share prices reflect risks.

Read more »

Bank building with the word bank in gold.
Bank Shares

5 years ago, $10,000 bought 111 CBA shares. But how many would it buy now?

CBA has had a fruitful five years. Here’s how much capital growth it has delivered…

Read more »

woman in an office with their fists up after winning
Bank Shares

Guess which ASX 200 bank stock is pushing higher on Friday (hint, not CBA shares)

While the big four banks are slipping in Friday morning trade, this ASX 200 bank stock is pushing higher. But…

Read more »

A woman wearing a yellow shirt smiles as she checks her phone.
Bank Shares

Judo Capital reaffirms FY26 profit guidance as lending growth continues

Judo Capital reaffirms its FY26 profit guidance after strong Q3 lending growth and stable asset quality.

Read more »

Ecstatic woman looking at her phone outside with her fist pumped.
Bank Shares

Why I think investors should buy and hold CBA shares for 10 years

Buying a premium share can feel uncomfortable, but quality often comes at a price.

Read more »

Time to sell written on a clock.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on CBA shares

A leading analyst forecasts headwinds for CBA shares. But why?

Read more »

Red sell button on an Apple keyboard.
Broker Notes

Sell alert! Why this expert is calling time on Bendigo Bank shares

A leading analyst believes the months ahead could be tricky for Bendigo Bank shares.

Read more »

A man in a suit smiles at the yellow piggy bank he holds in his hand.
Bank Shares

How does Morgans rate ANZ, BOQ, CBA, NAB, and Westpac shares?

Is it bullish or bearish on the big four? Let's find out.

Read more »