I think this ASX mining share is a hidden treasure waiting to be discovered

This opportunity is one that could be worth unearthing.

| More on:
cheap stocks represented by open brief case with golden light shining from it

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Aeris Resources is working on a number of growth projects while having a strong balance sheet
  • Copper, which is Aeris’ main commodity, is expected to see growing demand due to decarbonisation
  • It trades on a very low forecast earnings multiple

The Aeris Resources Ltd (ASX: AIS) share price could be one of the best opportunities in the ASX mining share sector.

For readers that haven't heard of it before, it's predominately a copper miner. But, it has exposure to other commodities including gold and zinc.

While its headquarters are in Brisbane, its portfolio (including exploration targets) is across the country in Queensland, Western Australia, New South Wales and Victoria.

The ASX mining share is well-placed for growth

At the end of the FY23 second quarter, it had $67.2 million of cash on the balance sheet and it was debt free. Its balance sheet is in great shape to pursue multiple growth activities.

The business said that it has a "strong pipeline of organic growth projects, an aggressive exploration program and continues to investigate strategic merger and acquisitions opportunities."

In its FY23 second quarter update, it noted resource upgrades at Golden Plateau (Cracow project) and Turbo (Jaguar project). It also mentioned high-grade copper intersections from drilling at Avoca Tank and Kurrajong (Tritton project).

The ASX mining share is also working on other areas to add resources to grow the business. For example, its Barbara exploration efforts will include a mining study that could result in a potential underground operation "of similar scale to Mt Colin".

All of the above bodes well for the future Aeris Resources share price, in my opinion.

Copper demand to boom?

Various reporting suggests that copper demand is going to increase significantly as the world moves towards decarbonisation and electrification.

For example, CNBC noted that electric vehicles, solar, wind power and batteries for energy storage all require copper. An electric vehicle needs 2.5 times as much copper as an internal combustion engine vehicle, according to S&P Global. The growing electricity grid will also need a lot of copper.

S&P Global suggested that copper demand will nearly double to 50 million tonnes by 2035.

To me, this suggests that the copper price could rise as well, though I'm not going to try to predict how far it could go.

Compelling valuation

The Aeris Resources share price has risen close to 40% since this article, which suggested that the copper miner could have a good year in 2023.

I still think that the ASX mining share is on track for pleasing shareholder returns from here.

The forecast on Commsec suggests that Aeris could achieve earnings per share (EPS) of 15.1 cents in FY24 and 15.6 cents in FY25, putting it at under 5 times the estimated earnings for those years.

If those forecasts are correct (or conservative) and if Aeris reaches a price/earnings (P/E) ratio of (just) 6, it would be a share price return of over 20%.

Also, with a possible P/E ratio at such a low number, any dividends would end up being a very large dividend yield, though there's no talk of dividends yet.

Imagine if Aeris keeps making 15 cents per share of EPS and it targets a dividend payout ratio of 50%. A dividend of 7.5 cents per share would be a cash dividend yield of 10.1% and 14.5% assuming the Aussie company generated and attached franking credits.

For now, the ASX mining share's cash is better spent on growth expenditure.

Motley Fool contributor Tristan Harrison has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Opinions

A businessman compares the growth trajectory of property versus shares.
Opinions

What's the outlook for shares vs. property in 2025?

The experts have put out their new year predictions...

Read more »

Cheerful boyfriend showing mobile phone to girlfriend in dining room. They are spending leisure time together at home and planning their financial future.
Opinions

My ASX share portfolio is up 30% this year! Here's my plan for 2025

The best investing plans shouldn't need too many updates.

Read more »

Man in an office celebrates at he crosses a finish line before his colleagues.
Opinions

These stocks made my share portfolio a market-beater in 2024

Beating the market is the least important takeaway from this year.

Read more »

A male investor sits at his desk looking at his laptop screen holding his hand to his chin pondering whether to buy Macquarie shares
Opinions

2 underappreciated ASX 200 shares to buy now

Investors may be undervaluing these ASX 200 shares heading into 2025, according to this expert.

Read more »

A man wearing a shirt, tie and hard hat sits in an office and marks dates in his diary.
Resources Shares

Is the BHP share price a buy? Here's my view

Is it time to dig into this beaten-up miner?

Read more »

A person holds their hands over three piggy banks, protecting and shielding their money and investments.
How to invest

I'm preparing for an ASX stock market crash in 2025

Whatever happens next year, my portfolio will be ready...

Read more »

Happy couple enjoying ice cream in retirement.
Opinions

2 ASX shares I loaded up on in November for long-term wealth

I’m excited by the dividend and capital growth potential of these stocks.

Read more »

A group of businesspeople clapping.
Opinions

My prediction for the best-performing ASX sectors in 2025

Here’s where I think the outperformers will come from.

Read more »