Can the BHP share price keep rising or has it peaked?

Should you be betting on this mining giant's shares rising further from here?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price has been a very strong performer in recent months.

In fact, as you can see on the chart below, since this time six months ago, the Big Australian's shares are up 24%.

As a comparison, the benchmark ASX 200 index is up 7% over the same period. That's a cool 17% outperformance from this mining giant's shares.

a man wearing a hard hat and a high visibility vest stands with his arms crossed in front of heavy equipment at a mine site.

Image source: Getty Images

Can the BHP share price keep climbing?

Unfortunately, one leading broker is calling time on the BHP share price gains.

Morgans has just released its best ideas list for February. These are the ASX shares that the broker thinks offer the highest risk-adjusted returns over a 12-month timeframe and are supported by a higher-than-average level of confidence. They are also its most preferred sector exposures.

But for the first time since March 2020, there is no BHP in the broker's best ideas list this month. It has been replaced with Mineral Resources Ltd (ASX: MIN).

According to the note, the broker made the move on valuation grounds after the aforementioned strong gain by the BHP share price. It also believes its earnings profile and trading conditions have softened recently.

In light of this, it has put a hold rating and $47.00 price target on the miner's shares. This price target is a touch lower than the current BHP share price of $48.10.

Commenting on the removal, Morgans said:

BHP remains in robust shape, but compared to mid-2022 its earnings profile, operating conditions and global macro conditions have all reduced. Despite this BHP continues to push to fresh record highs in terms of share price. As a result we are left believing BHP is trading moderately ahead of fundamentals and maintain our Hold rating with an upgraded A$47ps target.

Motley Fool contributor James Mickleboro has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Materials Shares

Miner holding a silver nugget.
Materials Shares

Why are these ASX silver stocks racing higher today?

A 4% silver rise sparked double-digit gains in silver shares.

Read more »

Overjoyed man celebrating success with yes gesture after getting some good news on mobile.
Materials Shares

Why is this ASX rare earths stock storming 7% higher today?

This stock is having a strong session. Let's see what is getting investors excited.

Read more »

A smiling man wearing a collared blue shirt and black jacket holds a piece of black rock containing rare earths.
Materials Shares

This major update just sent Lynas shares higher today

Lynas shares rise after announcing a key rare earth production milestone.

Read more »

A man looking at his laptop and thinking.
Materials Shares

Core Lithium shares tumble after $120m capital raising for Finniss restart

It won't be long until the company is producing lithium again.

Read more »

A man holding a cup of coffee puts his thumb up and smiles while at laptop.
Materials Shares

Top broker names 3 ASX rare earths stocks to buy

Let's see which stocks could benefit from strong prices.

Read more »

Business people discussing project on digital tablet.
Materials Shares

What does a change of CEO mean for the BHP share price?

The BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) share price is rising on Wednesday. In afternoon trade, the mining giant's shares are…

Read more »

A happy construction worker or miner holds a fistful of Australian dollar notes.
Materials Shares

$10,000 invested in BHP shares 5 years ago is now worth…

Was it a good idea to buy the mining giant's shares five years ago?

Read more »

A white EV car and an electric vehicle pump with green highlighted swirls representing ASX lithium shares
Materials Shares

This ASX lithium stock is slipping, but brokers see 135%+ gains

Analysts remain highly bullish on the long-term outlook.

Read more »