Experts betting against a bear market for ASX shares

Short-selling of an ASX shares ETF that benefits from bear market conditions has surged over the past three months.

| More on:
a father measures the height of a small girl standing against a wall in their home.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • An increasing number of pro traders have been shorting the BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund over the past three months 
  • The fund hit a new 52-week low on Friday  
  • The value of the fund goes up when the market is falling

Just under 7% of the capital in the BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund (ASX: BBOZ) is currently being short-sold by the experts, according to the latest ASX shares short sale report.

This is a dramatic change compared to three months ago when 0.33% of the stock was being shorted.

The change in short positioning may indicate that some experts think the bear market is over — at least for now.

As we explain in our Education Centre, shorting is not available to most ASX retail investors. Thus, it largely reflects what the pro ASX shares traders think, and which stocks they reckon will fall in value.

That's how you make money from shorting. You bet the share price will fall and you profit if it does.

Why is this bear market ETF being shorted?

To understand why the experts are shorting this bear market ETF, we need to understand the product.

According to the BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund fact sheet, this is an 'inverse ETF'. It invests in cash and cash equivalents and sells ASX SPI 200 futures contracts.

The ETF generates a "magnified positive return" when the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index (ASX: XJOA) falls on any given day, and a magnified negative return when the index rises.

A 1% fall in ASX 200 shares generally delivers a 2% to 2.75% increase for the fund, and vice versa.

Over the past three months, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) has risen by 10.5%. So, that explains why an increasing number of experts have been shorting this bear market ETF over the period.

The BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund share price finished at $3.23 on Friday, down 0.62%. It also hit a new 52-week low of $3.20 in Friday's session.

Which other ASX shares are being shorted?

According to the ASX report, these are the top 5 most shorted ASX shares at the moment. Here we show the percentage of issued capital shorted this week:

  1. Global X Ultra Long NASDAQ 100 (ASX: LNAS) 10.9%
  2. Global X Ultra Short NASDAQ 100 (ASX: SNAS) 9.8%
  3. BetaShares Australian Equities Strong Bear Hedge Fund (ASX: BBOZ) 6.9%
  4. VanEck Small Companies Masters ETF (ASX: MVS) 5.2%
  5. Global X US Treasury Bond (Currency Hedged) ETF (ASX: USTB) 5.2%

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Share Market News

A group of young ASX investors sitting around a laptop with an older lady standing behind them explaining how investing works.
Broker Notes

Top brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy next week

Brokers gave buy ratings to these ASX shares last week. Why are they bullish?

Read more »

Three people gather around a large computer screen where they are looking at something that is captivating their interest with a graphic image of data and digital technology material superimposed to the right hand third of the image.
Share Market News

Here's how the ASX 200 market sectors stacked up last week

ASX tech shares led the market for a third consecutive week with a 4.63% increase.

Read more »

Mini house on a laptop.
Dividend Investing

Do ASX 200 dividend shares out-earn Aussie property?

We compare the forecast FY25 dividend yields of the top 10 ASX 200 companies to rental property yields.

Read more »

A fit woman in workout gear flexes her muscles with two bigger people flexing behind her, indicating growth.
Best Shares

Top ASX shares to buy with $500 in November 2024

$500 worth of ASX shares might not sound like a huge investment. But, to realise the benefits of compounding, you…

Read more »

A diverse group of people form a circle at a park and raise their arms together.
Share Market News

Here are the top 10 ASX 200 shares today

ASX investors ended the trading week on a high note this Friday...

Read more »

Broker Notes

Brokers name 3 ASX shares to buy today

Here's why brokers are feeling bullish about these three shares this week.

Read more »

A businessman looking at his digital tablet or strategy planning in hotel conference lobby. He is happy at achieving financial goals.
Share Gainers

Why Catapult, De Grey Mining, Domino's, and Nufarm shares are charging higher

These shares are ending the week strongly. But why?

Read more »

A young woman holds an open book over her head with a round mouthed expression as if to say oops as she looks at her computer screen in a home office setting with a plant on the desk and shelves of books in the background.
Healthcare Shares

This ASX All Ords share is diving 18% as inflation pain draws blood

This healthcare company delivered a trading update at its annual general meeting today.

Read more »