Will Liontown Resources post a profit in 2023?

The company's future profitability currently relies on its Kathleen Valley lithium project.

| More on:
A man sits in deep thought with a pen held to his lips as he ponders his computer screen with a laptop open next to him on his desk in a home office environment.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The Liontown Resources share price has boomed this year as construction continues at the company's cornerstone Kathleen Valley project
  • The project isn't expected to reach production until 2024, likely bringing the company's expected maiden revenue with it
  • Thus, Liontown Resources is unlikely to reach profitability in 2023

The Liontown Resources Ltd (ASX: LTR) share price has been off to a flying start in 2023. Could the remainder of the year house the company's maiden profit?

Let's break down the company's projected path to profitability to find if this could be the year shareholders are rewarded with positive earnings.

Right now, the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) lithium share is trading at $1.525. That's 24.5% higher than it was at the start of 2023.

For comparison, the ASX 200 has gained 7% year to date.

What is the ASX 200 lithium share up to?

Liontown Resources is currently working on its cornerstone Kathleen Valley lithium project, located in Western Australia.

The project is said to house one of the largest and highest-grade hard rock lithium deposits in the world. It's expected to be capable of producing around 500,000 tonnes of 6% lithium oxide concentrate every year.

It's no surprise, then, that the lithium share is so popular among ASX market watchers.

However, the first production – and potentially its first revenue – is still some way away.

Liontown likely won't post a profit in 2023

The key ingredient ASX 200 lithium shares need to achieve profitability is, of course, saleable product. Sadly, those expecting Liontown to produce saleable lithium in 2023 will likely be disappointed.

The company is aiming to achieve its first production at Kathleen Valley in mid-2024. And it still has quite a bit to spend before it reaches the milestone.

It's already sunk around $73 million into the venture and believes it has another $685 million or so to go.

Fortunately, it has around $385 million of cash and a $300 million debt facility provided by offtake partner and automaker Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F). Though, it will probably need additional capital prior to its maiden production.

On top of that, exploration at the company's Buldania project will likely weigh on its balance sheet over the coming years.

Though, the ASX 200 lithium share recently flagged an early revenue opportunity.

A change in the Kathleen Valley mining plan may have unlocked a direct ship ore (DSO) opportunity like that recently employed by Core Lithium Ltd (ASX: CXO).

Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Female miner standing next to a haul truck in a large mining operation.
Resources Shares

Is this the right time to buy Fortescue shares?

Is it time to dig into this iron ore miner?

Read more »

Female worker sitting desk with head in hand and looking fed up
Resources Shares

What does the $100 billion blow for mining exports mean for these ASX 200 stocks?

Are these mining shares worth snapping up at a discount?

Read more »

a female miner looks straight ahead at the camera wearing a hard hat, protective goggles and a high visibility vest standing in from of a mine site and looking seriously with direct eye contact.
Resources Shares

Could Rio Tinto shares be a gold mine in 2025?

Let’s unearth whether this ASX mining share is an opportunity.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

BHP shares rise amid positive class action news

Here’s the latest from BHP on its huge legal case.

Read more »

A female employee in a hard hat and overalls with high visibility stripes sits at the wheel of a large mining vehicle with mining equipment in the background.
Resources Shares

The under-the-radar metal trading at record prices (and 4 ASX mining shares exposed to it)

Which ASX miners have exposure to this soaring, under-the-radar metal?

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Why is the Mineral Resources share price racing ahead of the benchmark on Wednesday?

Here’s what’s happening.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Should you buy the 28% dip on Newmont shares?

Is this sell-off a golden opportunity?

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

3 ASX mining shares just upgraded by brokers (one with 60% upside!)

Here are 3 ASX mining shares that brokers are backing for growth in an uncertain climate.

Read more »