Broker forecasts CBA share price to slide 15%

One expert has tipped the banking giant's stock to slide below $92.

| More on:
An unhappy man in a suit sits at his desk with his arms crossed staring at his laptop screen as the PointsBet share price falls

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The CBA share price is in the green today following a strong session for New York-listed banking giants on Friday
  • But the ASX 200 giant's future might not be so bright
  • One broker has tipped the CBA share price to fall nearly 15%

Monday is shaping up to be a strong session for S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) banks, with giant Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) among the gainers.

The sector's strong performance follows on from a similarly favourable Friday for Wall Street banks, driven by quarterly earnings from the United States' 'big four'.

However, the future could be less convincing for the Aussie institution, with one broker tipping CBA's stock to tumble close to 15%.

Right now, the CBA share price is $107.36. That's 0.81% higher than its previous close.

Created with Highcharts 11.4.3Commonwealth Bank Of Australia PriceZoom1M3M6MYTD1Y5Y10YALLwww.fool.com.au

For comparison, the ASX 200 is up 0.66% right now while the S&P/ASX 200 Financial Index (ASX: XFJ) has gained 0.79%.

Let's take a closer look at what's going on with the banking giant today.

CBA share price gains despite bearish broker

The CBA share price is in the green on Monday after stock in the United States' 'big four banks' surged amid their quarterly earnings on Friday.

Shares in JPMorgan Chase & Co (NYSE: JPM), Bank of America Corp (NYSE: BAC), Wells Fargo & Co (NYSE: WFC), and Citigroup Inc (NYSE: C) gained between 1.7% to 3.3% in the final session of last week.

But, unfortunately, it's not all good news for ASX 200 banks today. The largest of the lot has reportedly been hit with a broker downgrade.

Jefferies has cut its outlook for CBA shares, slapping the stock with a $91.30 price target – a potential 14.8% downside, The Australian reports.

It comes after many of the New York-listed majors alluded to an upcoming recession in their latest earnings, putting aside extra cash to cushion the impact of a potential economic slowdown.

JPMorgan and Bank of America's earnings led the pack on Friday. The pair's quarterly profits lifted 6% and 1.4% respectively year-on-year to US$11 billion and US$7.1 billion.

Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's quarterly profit fell 50% to US$2.86 billion and that of Citigroup slumped 21% to US$2.5 billion.

Back home, the CBA share price is far from alone in the green on Monday. Here's how the remaining Aussie big four banks are performing in late morning trade:

  • Shares in National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) are up 0.96% at $31.60
  • The Westpac Banking Corp (ASX: WBC) share price is gaining 0.84% to reach $23.96
  • ANZ Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: ANZ) stock is up 1.31%, trading at $24.81

Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Wells Fargo is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Motley Fool contributor Brooke Cooper has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Jefferies Financial Group. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Westpac Banking. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Bank Shares

Contented looking man leans back in his chair at his desk and smiles.
Bank Shares

Major CBA investor reveals why he's all in

This investor described one major reason driving his investment in CBA shares.

Read more »

Young investor sits at desk looking happy after discovering Westpac's dividend reinvestment plan
Bank Shares

Invested $10,000 in Westpac shares 2 years ago? Guess how much you've already banked!

Atop their regular dividend payments, Westpac shares have enjoyed a strong two-year run.

Read more »

Woman calculating dividends on calculator and working on a laptop.
Bank Shares

Buying CBA stock today? Here's the dividend yield you'll get

CBA's yield right now might surprise you.

Read more »

A financial expert or broker looks worried as he checks out a graph showing market volatility.
Bank Shares

How much would the ASX 200 fall if CBA shares returned to 'fair value'?

CBA shares account for 12% of the ASX 200.

Read more »

A woman sits in a cafe wearing a polka dotted shirt and holding a latte in one hand while reading something on a laptop that is sitting on the table in front of her
Dividend Investing

How are these passive income investors earning a 7.5% dividend yield on their surging CBA shares?

CBA shares are proving more lucrative for some passive income investors than others.

Read more »

A woman in a bright yellow jumper looks happily at her yellow piggy bank.
Bank Shares

$10,000 invested in CBA shares in FY25 is now

Let's see whether it was a successful 12 months for bank investors in the last financial year.

Read more »

Woman with spyglass looking toward ocean at sunset.
Bank Shares

What could happen to the big 4 banks in FY26?

What’s in store for the big four banks over the next 12 months?

Read more »

Bank building in a financial district.
Bank Shares

Which is the only ASX 200 bank stock Macquarie expects to outperform in FY 2026?

Macquarie forecasts a tough year ahead for the ASX 200 banks, with only one expected to outperform.

Read more »