Falling inflation! Could the party be back on for ASX 200 retail shares?

Why are ASX 200 retail shares on fire today?

| More on:
A group of people at a party look upwards to the camera as they celebrate the rise of ASX value shares

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • The ASX 200 is having a positive end to the week today
  • But ASX 200 retail shares are really shining
  • So what could be behind these moves?

The S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) looks like it's about to end the trading week on a high note. At present, the ASX 200 is up another 0.73%, bringing its gains in 2023 so far to a rather impressive 5.57%. That's more than the index lost over the entirety of 2022. But ASX 200 retail shares are doing even better this Friday.

The S&P/ASX 200 Consumer Discretionary Index (ASX: XDJ) is one of the best-performing sectors on the share market today. And this is the sector that is dominated by ASX retailers.

Just take Lovisa Holdings Ltd (ASX: LOV). Its shares are up a stellar 3.34%. Premier Investments Limited (ASX: PMV), the name behind Smiggle, Peter Alexander and Jay-Jays, is up 1.66%.

JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH), Harvey Norman Holdings Limited (ASX: HVN) and Dusk Group Ltd (ASX: DSK) are also seeing some healthy green numbers.

So what might be giving this embattled sector a boost this Friday?

Why are ASX 200 retail shares on fire today?

Well, it's possible that the latest economic numbers out of the United States overnight have helped to boost sentiment. According to the US Bureau of Labor Statistics, America's consumer price index (CPI) fell by 0.1% over the month of December, largely on the back of cheaper fuel prices.

This brings the annual inflation rate in the US down to 6.5%. That's the lowest figure in more than a year.

Lower inflation might mean that the US Federal Reserve might not be forced to lift interest rates as high as previously anticipated. This could have an effect on our own Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA)'s interest rate plans.

And lower rates are generally good news for shares. Especially those in the consumer discretionary sector, as these companies generally thrive when customers have more disposable income to spend.

We also got some good news earlier this week regarding Australia's retail sector. On Wednesday, the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed that retail spending in Australia lifted by 1.4% in November to a record high.

Although this was attributed to the rising popularity of the Black Friday sales, it is still potentially a sign that Australian retailers are in a good space right now.

So it could be a combination of these factors that are boosting investors' confidence in ASX 200 retail shares as we round out the second trading week of 2023.

Motley Fool contributor Sebastian Bowen has positions in Dusk Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Harvey Norman and Lovisa. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Harvey Norman. The Motley Fool Australia has recommended Dusk Group, Jb Hi-Fi, Lovisa, and Premier Investments. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Retail Shares

A woman wearing jewellery shrugs
Retail Shares

Lovisa share price slides as sales growth fails to impress

ASX 200 investors are bidding down Lovisa shares on Friday. But why?

Read more »

Man with diving gear on in a bathtub.
Retail Shares

Own Wesfarmers shares? Here's why Bunnings is in hot water this week

Wesfarmers is getting some unwanted attention from its Bunnings operations.

Read more »

A woman sits at her computer with her chin resting on her hand as she contemplates her next potential investment.
Retail Shares

Up 90%, this ASX 200 retail stock's CEO just sold $500,000 worth

What could this mean?

Read more »

View of a mine site.
Retail Shares

Why buying Wesfarmers shares could provide unique lithium exposure

In the last 12 months, the stock has rallied more than 28%.

Read more »

Photo of two women shopping.
Retail Shares

Why one leading fund manager thinks this fallen ASX All Ords stock is a turnaround buy

This is a bargain stock, according to a leading fundie.

Read more »

a woman wearing fashionable clothes and jewellery checks her phone with a satisfied smile on her face in a luxurous home setting.
Retail Shares

Guess which ASX 200 stock just extended its $580 million buyback

Could this draw investor attention to the stock?

Read more »

A man holds his hand under his chin as he concentrates on his laptop screen and reads about the ANZ share price
Retail Shares

Own Wesfarmers shares? Here's why Bunnings' monster profits are raising eyebrows

Bunnings is the jewel in Wesfarmers’ crown. Some people are questioning whether it should sparkle as much as it does.

Read more »

Woman checking out new laptops.
Retail Shares

Harvey Norman shares see red on ASIC case update

This could put the saga to rest.

Read more »