6 ASX mining shares just upgraded by brokers

But there's a fly in the ointment.

A group of people in suits and hard hats celebrate the rising share price with champagne.

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More

Key points

  • Investors are loving ASX mining shares right now, with the S&P/ASX 300 Metals & Mining Index up by almost 25% in just three months 
  • These stocks have been upgraded by the pros today
  • But there's a fly in the ointment -- many of these ASX mining shares are already trading above the brokers' raised valuations 

A collection of ASX mining shares have been upgraded by various brokers today.

While the upgrades demonstrate increased confidence in these ASX mining shares, many are already trading above the brokers' raised valuations.

Over the past three months, the S&P/ASX 300 Metals & Mining Index (ASX: XMM) has increased by almost 25%.

Investors are likely more enthusiastic about ASX mining shares now that China has dumped its COVID-19 Zero policy. This significantly disrupted the Chinese economy and affected demand for our exports.

Which ASX mining share got the biggest price forecast bump?

According to The Australian, Goldman feels a lot more confident about the prospects for ASX copper share Sandfire Resources Ltd (ASX: SFR).

The broker has raised its 12-month share price target by a whopping 38% to $4.50. But Sandfire shares are already trading well above this at $6.20, down 1.12% at lunchtime on Friday.

Goldman has also upgraded its share price target on ASX iron ore share Champion Iron Ltd (ASX: CIA) by 22% to $8.40.

Champion Iron shares are swapping hands for $7.76 today, up 0.91%. So, there's a bit of potential upside available for investors here.

The broker has also raised its price target for South32 Ltd (ASX: S32) shares by 17% to $4.20. South 32 shares are already above this point, trading at $4.64 today, up 1.98%.

Conversely, Credit Suisse is not so confident and has cut its recommendation on South 32 shares to neutral.

Goldman upped its price target for BHP Group Ltd (ASX: BHP) shares by 12% to $48.10. But investors are more bullish, pushing BHP shares to $49.89 today, up 1.03%.

Goldman also backs ASX coal share New Hope Corporation Limited (ASX: NHC).

The team has raised its price target on New Hope shares by 26% to $4.90. But the New Hope share price has soared well beyond this to $6.27, up 5.91% on no news from the company at all today.

At the time of writing, it's the top-performing share on the S&P/ASX 200 Index (ASX: XJO) today, according to ASX data.

They've also raised their forecast for the thermal coal price by 18% to US$275 per tonne for 2023.

Goldman also sees Rio Tinto Limited (ASX: RIO) heading 9% higher to $130 per share. Rio Tinto is currently trading at $122.85 per share, up 1.39% today.

Barclays has raised its recommendation on Rio Tinto shares to equal weight.

What's got the brokers positive on ASX resources stocks?

In a new note, Goldman Sachs says it is forecasting a commodity price recovery in the second half of FY23:

While we continue to think 1Q23 will be a tough quarter for base metals and steel due to ongoing weak European and global demand, our expectation of a China reopening in 2Q, extreme lows in global base metal inventories and ongoing supply side disruptions make us positive on a 2H commodity price recovery.

Goldman said it was "most positive" on 62% fe and high-grade iron ore, as well as coking coal, due to an expected increase in Chinese steel production.

The broker is also optimistic about copper, aluminium, and zinc due to low global inventories and supply-side disruptions.

It cites copper production issues in Chile and a "slow restart of European aluminium and zinc smelters" as reasons for the shortages right now.

Motley Fool contributor Bronwyn Allen has positions in BHP Group. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has recommended Barclays Plc. The Motley Fool Australia has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

More on Resources Shares

Female miner standing next to a haul truck in a large mining operation.
Resources Shares

Is this the right time to buy Fortescue shares?

Is it time to dig into this iron ore miner?

Read more »

Female worker sitting desk with head in hand and looking fed up
Resources Shares

What does the $100 billion blow for mining exports mean for these ASX 200 stocks?

Are these mining shares worth snapping up at a discount?

Read more »

a female miner looks straight ahead at the camera wearing a hard hat, protective goggles and a high visibility vest standing in from of a mine site and looking seriously with direct eye contact.
Resources Shares

Could Rio Tinto shares be a gold mine in 2025?

Let’s unearth whether this ASX mining share is an opportunity.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

BHP shares rise amid positive class action news

Here’s the latest from BHP on its huge legal case.

Read more »

A female employee in a hard hat and overalls with high visibility stripes sits at the wheel of a large mining vehicle with mining equipment in the background.
Resources Shares

The under-the-radar metal trading at record prices (and 4 ASX mining shares exposed to it)

Which ASX miners have exposure to this soaring, under-the-radar metal?

Read more »

Miner looking at a tablet.
Resources Shares

Why is the Mineral Resources share price racing ahead of the benchmark on Wednesday?

Here’s what’s happening.

Read more »

two men in hard hats and high visibility jackets look together at a laptop screen that one of the men in holding at a mine site.
Resources Shares

Should you buy the 28% dip on Newmont shares?

Is this sell-off a golden opportunity?

Read more »

Three miners wearing hard hats and high vis vests take a break on site at a mine as the Fortescue share price drops in FY22
Resources Shares

3 ASX mining shares just upgraded by brokers (one with 60% upside!)

Here are 3 ASX mining shares that brokers are backing for growth in an uncertain climate.

Read more »